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Coppa Italia
Referee: G Manganiello
Napoli
U T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Como
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Como
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Coppa Italia · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
8 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Napoli 23. · Como 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Como 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Torino 4 3 0 1 +2 9
3 Atalanta 2 2 0 0 +7 6
4 Inter 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Milan 3 2 0 1 +4 6
6 Genoa 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Udinese 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Cagliari 3 1 2 0 +3 5
9 Virtus Entella 2 1 1 0 +4 4
10 Parma 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Audace Cerignola 2 1 1 0 +1 4
12 Venezia 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Bologna 1 1 0 0 +1 3
14 Lazio 1 1 0 0 +1 3
15 Juventus 2 1 0 1 -1 3
16 Lecce 2 1 0 1 -1 3
17 Vicenza 2 1 0 1 -1 3
18 Pescara 2 1 0 1 -1 3
19 Frosinone 2 1 0 1 -2 3
20 Sassuolo 2 1 0 1 -2 3
21 Spezia 2 0 2 0 +0 2
22 Verona 2 0 2 0 +0 2
23 Napoli 1 0 1 0 +0 1
24 Sampdoria 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Reggiana 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 Cremonese 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Cesena 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Palermo 2 0 1 1 -1 1
29 Pisa 2 0 1 1 -1 1
30 Empoli 2 0 1 1 -2 1
31 Roma 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Modena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Catanzaro 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Monza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Rimini 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Avellino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Fiorentina 1 0 0 1 -2 0
38 Sudtirol 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 Carrarese 1 0 0 1 -2 0
40 Bari 1 0 0 1 -2 0
41 Juve Stabia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
42 Padova 1 0 0 1 -2 0
43 Mantova 1 0 0 1 -4 0
44 Ternana 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Napoli Como
39′
M. Baturina 0–1
44′
🟨 Jacobo Ramón
Half-time 1–1
1–1 A. Vergara
R. Hojlund
46′
53′
🔁 M. O. Kempf
↦ J. Ramon
53′
🔁 A. Douvikas
↦ M. Caqueret
M. Politano 🔁
↦ Giovane
60′
Alisson Santos 🔁
↦ P. Mazzocchi
60′
L. Spinazzola 🔁
↦ M. Olivera
60′
62′
🟨 Sergi Roberto
67′
🔁 J. Rodriguez
↦ J. Addai
67′
🔁 L. Da Cunha
↦ S. Roberto
Eljif Elmas 🟨
69′
M. Gutierrez 🔁
↦ A. Vergara
74′
R. Lukaku 🔁
↦ R. Hojlund
74′
82′
🔁 M. Vojvoda
↦ N. Paz
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Napoli

3-4-2-1
32 V. Milinkovic-Savic G
31 S. Beukema D
13 A. Rrahmani D
5 Juan Jesus D
30 P. Mazzocchi M
20 E. Elmas M
68 S. Lobotka M
17 M. Olivera M
23 Giovane F
26 A. Vergara F
19 R. Hojlund F
Bench (10)
1 A. Meret
14 N. Contini
3 M. Gutierrez
4 A. Buongiorno
9 R. Lukaku
21 M. Politano
27 Alisson Santos
37 L. Spinazzola
95 V. Prisco
98 E. De Chiara

Coach: Antonio Conte

Como

4-2-3-1
1 J. Butez G
28 I. Smolcic D
14 J. Ramon D
34 Diego Carlos D
3 A. Valle D
23 M. Perrone M
8 S. Roberto M
42 J. Addai M
10 N. Paz M
20 M. Baturina M
6 M. Caqueret F
Bench (12)
21 N. Tornqvist
22 M. Vigorito
2 M. O. Kempf
7 A. Morata
11 A. Douvikas
15 A. Lahdo
17 J. Rodriguez
18 A. Moreno
19 N. Kuhn
31 M. Vojvoda
33 L. Da Cunha
77 I. Van der Brempt

Coach: Cesc Fabregas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Manganiello · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.