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Serie A

Referee: D Doveri

Napoli

U T U T S

1–3

Full-time

Inter

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Inter

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,2

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,5

This season — Serie A · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 56%

35%

76%

Points per game

1,4

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

53%

71%

Both score Ø 65%

71%

59%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,6

2,1

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

56% Possession 44%

18 Shots 9

8 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 22

0 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Napoli 8. · Inter 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	18	14	3	1	+18	45
2	Inter	17	13	3	1	+22	42
3	Lazio	17	12	3	2	+23	39
4	Roma	18	10	5	3	+14	35
5	Atalanta	18	10	4	4	+23	34
6	Cagliari	18	8	5	5	+6	29
7	Parma	18	7	4	7	-1	25
8	Napoli	17	6	6	5	+5	24
9	Torino	18	7	3	8	-2	24
10	Bologna	18	6	5	7	-2	23
11	Verona	17	6	4	7	-1	22
12	Milan	18	6	4	8	-8	22
13	Udinese	18	6	3	9	-14	21
14	Sassuolo	18	5	4	9	-1	19
15	Fiorentina	18	4	6	8	-7	18
16	Sampdoria	18	4	4	10	-13	16
17	Lecce	18	3	6	9	-14	15
18	Brescia	18	4	2	12	-15	14
19	Genoa	18	3	5	10	-17	14
20	Spal	18	3	3	12	-16	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	9	8	1	0	+13	25
2	Lazio	8	6	2	0	+17	20
3	Inter	9	6	2	1	+11	20
4	Roma	9	5	2	2	+5	17
5	Atalanta	9	5	1	3	+14	16
6	Cagliari	9	5	1	3	+6	16
7	Udinese	9	4	2	3	-3	14
8	Parma	9	4	1	4	+3	13
9	Bologna	9	3	3	3	+0	12
10	Verona	9	3	3	3	+0	12
11	Napoli	8	3	2	3	+2	11
12	Torino	9	3	2	4	-3	11
13	Sassuolo	9	3	1	5	+1	10
14	Genoa	9	3	1	5	-2	10
15	Milan	9	2	4	3	-3	10
16	Fiorentina	9	2	3	4	-4	9
17	Sampdoria	9	2	3	4	-5	9
18	Spal	9	2	2	5	-5	8
19	Lecce	9	0	4	5	-7	4
20	Brescia	9	1	1	7	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	8	7	1	0	+11	22
2	Juventus	9	6	2	1	+5	20
3	Lazio	9	6	1	2	+6	19
4	Atalanta	9	5	3	1	+9	18
5	Roma	9	5	3	1	+9	18
6	Napoli	9	3	4	2	+3	13
7	Torino	9	4	1	4	+1	13
8	Cagliari	9	3	4	2	+0	13
9	Parma	9	3	3	3	-4	12
10	Milan	9	4	0	5	-5	12
11	Bologna	9	3	2	4	-2	11
12	Lecce	9	3	2	4	-7	11
13	Verona	8	3	1	4	-1	10
14	Brescia	9	3	1	5	-5	10
15	Sassuolo	9	2	3	4	-2	9
16	Fiorentina	9	2	3	4	-3	9
17	Sampdoria	9	2	1	6	-8	7
18	Udinese	9	2	1	6	-11	7
19	Spal	9	1	1	7	-11	4
20	Genoa	9	0	4	5	-15	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.