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La Liga

Referee: Miguel Angel Ortiz Arias

Granada

S T U T T

1–1

Full-time

Ath Bilbao

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Ath Bilbao

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

4,0

Scored

1,2

2,8

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 30%

53%

Points per game

0,5

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

53%

60%

Both score Ø 54%

67%

40%

Average goals

3,6

3,2

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,70 xG 1,06

48% Possession 52%

7 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 8

2 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Granada 19. · Ath Bilbao 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Girona	16	13	2	1	+18	+7.8	41
2	Real Madrid	16	12	3	1	+24	+12.8	39
3	Ath Madrid	15	11	1	3	+18	+12.1	34
4	Barcelona	16	10	4	2	+12	+17.4	34
5	Sociedad	16	8	5	3	+11	+1.9	29
6	Ath Bilbao	15	8	4	3	+12	+9.5	28
7	Betis	16	6	8	2	+2	-0.1	26
8	Las Palmas	16	7	3	6	+1	-5.2	24
9	Getafe	16	5	7	4	-2	-4.3	22
10	Valencia	16	5	4	7	-4	+0.2	19
11	Vallecano	15	4	7	4	-6	-5.8	19
12	Alaves	16	4	4	8	-6	+2.2	16
13	Villarreal	16	4	4	8	-7	-5.0	16
14	Osasuna	16	4	4	8	-8	-6.0	16
15	Mallorca	16	2	8	6	-6	-3.9	14
16	Sevilla	15	2	7	6	-1	-4.6	13
17	Cadiz	16	2	7	7	-10	-11.5	13
18	Celta	15	1	6	8	-10	-0.9	9
19	Granada	15	1	4	10	-16	-12.3	7
20	Almeria	16	0	4	12	-22	-4.3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	8	0	0	+11	+10.1	24
2	Barcelona	9	7	0	2	+9	+9.8	21
3	Real Madrid	7	6	1	0	+14	+10.7	19
4	Girona	8	6	1	1	+8	+3.1	19
5	Betis	8	5	3	0	+8	+6.2	18
6	Getafe	8	5	3	0	+5	+1.6	18
7	Ath Bilbao	8	5	2	1	+11	+8.7	17
8	Sociedad	8	5	2	1	+7	+0.3	17
9	Las Palmas	7	4	2	1	+4	-0.2	14
10	Valencia	7	4	1	2	+5	+4.5	13
11	Alaves	8	4	1	3	+0	+5.0	13
12	Sevilla	8	2	4	2	+3	-0.5	10
13	Cadiz	8	2	4	2	-1	+1.6	10
14	Mallorca	8	1	6	1	+0	-1.1	9
15	Villarreal	9	2	1	6	-5	-0.2	7
16	Vallecano	7	1	4	2	-6	-4.7	7
17	Granada	7	1	3	3	-4	-4.7	6
18	Osasuna	8	1	3	4	-5	-1.2	6
19	Celta	8	0	4	4	-7	+2.9	4
20	Almeria	8	0	3	5	-8	+1.5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Girona	8	7	1	0	+10	+4.6	22
2	Real Madrid	9	6	2	1	+10	+2.1	20
3	Barcelona	7	3	4	0	+3	+7.6	13
4	Sociedad	8	3	3	2	+4	+1.6	12
5	Vallecano	8	3	3	2	+0	-1.1	12
6	Ath Bilbao	7	3	2	2	+1	+0.7	11
7	Ath Madrid	7	3	1	3	+7	+1.9	10
8	Osasuna	8	3	1	4	-3	-4.7	10
9	Las Palmas	9	3	1	5	-3	-5.0	10
10	Villarreal	7	2	3	2	-2	-4.8	9
11	Betis	8	1	5	2	-6	-6.3	8
12	Valencia	9	1	3	5	-9	-4.3	6
13	Celta	7	1	2	4	-3	-3.7	5
14	Mallorca	8	1	2	5	-6	-2.8	5
15	Getafe	8	0	4	4	-7	-5.9	4
16	Sevilla	7	0	3	4	-4	-4.1	3
17	Alaves	8	0	3	5	-6	-2.8	3
18	Cadiz	8	0	3	5	-9	-13.1	3
19	Granada	8	0	1	7	-12	-7.6	1
20	Almeria	8	0	1	7	-14	-5.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.