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Primeira Liga
Referee: Iancu Vasilica
Santa Clara
S T S T U
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Vitoria Setubal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
1,5
0,3
Scored
0,7
0,2
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 23%
33%
13%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 7%
0%
13%
Both score Ø 6%
11%
0%
Average goals
1,3
0,8
Scored
0,6
0,1
Conceded
0,8
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
20 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 7
3 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Santa Clara 9. · Vitoria Setubal 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 10 9 0 1 +19 27
2 Porto 10 8 1 1 +19 25
3 Famalicao 9 7 1 1 +7 22
4 Sp Lisbon 9 5 2 2 +5 17
5 Guimaraes 9 4 3 2 +7 15
6 Tondela 10 3 4 3 +0 13
7 Rio Ave 9 3 3 3 +3 12
8 Boavista 8 2 6 0 +2 12
9 Santa Clara 9 3 3 3 -2 12
10 Sp Braga 9 3 2 4 -2 11
11 Maritimo 10 2 5 3 -3 11
12 Moreirense 10 2 4 4 -2 10
13 Setubal 9 1 6 2 -4 9
14 Vitoria Setubal 8 1 5 2 -4 8
15 Gil Vicente 10 1 5 4 -6 8
16 Belenenses 9 2 2 5 -9 8
17 Portimonense 10 1 4 5 -8 7
18 Pacos Ferreira 9 1 2 6 -10 5
19 Aves 9 1 0 8 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Santa Clara Vitoria Setubal
1–0 Osama Rashid
6′
12′
Bruno Pires 1–1
Nuno Valente
28′
🟨 Artur Jorge
Joao Lucas 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–1
Rafael Ramos 🟨
52′
Bruno Lamas 🔁
↦ Lincoln
64′
67′
🔁 Éber Bessa
↦ Carlinhos
João Afonso 🔁
↦ Rafael Ramos
74′
75′
🟨 José Semedo
76′
🟨 Hildeberto Pereira
Ukra 🔁
↦ Osama Rashid
82′
83′
🟨 Éber Bessa
Francisco Ramos 🟨
85′
86′
🔁 Zequinha
↦ Hildeberto Pereira
87′
🟨 José Semedo
87′
🟥 José Semedo
89′
🔁 Leandrinho
↦ N. Ghilas
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Santa Clara

4-4-2
99 Marco Pereira G
12 César Martins D
4 Fábio Cardoso D
2 Rafael Ramos D
15 João Lucas D
6 Osama Rashid M
88 Chico Ramos M
17 Lincoln F
70 Zé Manuel M
14 Thiago Santana F
13 Carlos M
Bench (7)
10 Bruno Lamas
5 João Afonso
7 Ukra
96 João Lopes
18 A. Stephens
3 Z. Sanusi
21 Nené

Coach: João Henriques

Vitoria Setubal

4-3-1-2
90 G. Makaridze G
17 Sílvio D
24 Bruno Pires D
4 Artur Jorge D
16 André Sousa D
29 José Semedo M
8 Nuno Valente M
76 Carlinhos M
99 N. Ghilas F
11 Hildeberto Pereira F
22 B. Mansilla M
Bench (7)
10 Éber Bessa
87 Zequinha
25 Leandrinho
9 K. Hachadi
5 Mano
3 Jubal
12 Milton Raphael

Coach: A. Meyong

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Iancu Vasilica · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
29,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.