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Bundesliga

Referee: B Dankert

RB Leipzig

S U U U S

2–2

Full-time

Hertha

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

4,2

Scored

2,5

2,3

Conceded

0,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 45%

56%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 74%

70%

78%

Both score Ø 58%

63%

52%

Average goals

3,5

3,2

Scored

2,5

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

57% Possession 43%

11 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 6

12 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 3. · Hertha 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	28	20	4	4	+53	64
2	Dortmund	28	17	6	5	+40	57
3	RB Leipzig	27	15	9	3	+41	54
4	M'gladbach	28	16	5	7	+19	53
5	Leverkusen	28	16	5	7	+17	53
6	Wolfsburg	28	11	9	8	+6	42
7	Freiburg	28	10	8	10	-2	38
8	Schalke 04	27	9	10	8	-10	37
9	Hoffenheim	27	10	6	11	-11	36
10	FC Koln	27	10	4	13	-6	34
11	Hertha	27	9	7	11	-9	34
12	Augsburg	27	8	6	13	-14	30
13	Union Berlin	27	9	3	15	-15	30
14	Ein Frankfurt	27	8	5	14	-8	29
15	Mainz	27	8	3	16	-24	27
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	27	5	9	13	-23	24
17	Werder Bremen	27	5	7	15	-30	22
18	Paderborn	27	4	6	17	-24	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	14	10	3	1	+34	33
2	Bayern Munich	14	10	2	2	+30	32
3	M'gladbach	14	9	2	3	+12	29
4	RB Leipzig	13	7	5	1	+19	26
5	Leverkusen	14	7	4	3	+9	25
6	Ein Frankfurt	14	6	4	4	+9	22
7	FC Koln	14	6	3	5	+4	21
8	Schalke 04	14	5	6	3	-3	21
9	Freiburg	13	6	2	5	+1	20
10	Union Berlin	13	6	1	6	+0	19
11	Augsburg	13	5	3	5	+2	18
12	Wolfsburg	14	4	6	4	+1	18
13	Hoffenheim	14	5	1	8	-15	16
14	Hertha	14	4	3	7	-10	15
15	Mainz	14	4	2	8	-11	14
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	3	4	6	-10	13
17	Paderborn	14	2	2	10	-14	8
18	Werder Bremen	13	1	3	9	-21	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	2	2	+23	32
2	RB Leipzig	14	8	4	2	+22	28
3	Leverkusen	14	9	1	4	+8	28
4	M'gladbach	14	7	3	4	+7	24
5	Dortmund	14	7	3	4	+6	24
6	Wolfsburg	14	7	3	4	+5	24
7	Hoffenheim	13	5	5	3	+4	20
8	Hertha	13	5	4	4	+1	19
9	Freiburg	15	4	6	5	-3	18
10	Schalke 04	13	4	4	5	-7	16
11	Werder Bremen	14	4	4	6	-9	16
12	FC Koln	13	4	1	8	-10	13
13	Mainz	13	4	1	8	-13	13
14	Augsburg	14	3	3	8	-16	12
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	2	5	7	-13	11
16	Union Berlin	14	3	2	9	-15	11
17	Paderborn	13	2	4	7	-10	10
18	Ein Frankfurt	13	2	1	10	-17	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.