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Championship
Referee: T Harrington
Reading
S S U S U
1–3
Full-time
Brentford
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading Brentford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,7
4,5
Scored
1,3
3,2
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,8
This season — Championship · 27/25 matches
Win Ø 54%
52%
56%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
56%
52%
Both score Ø 54%
48%
60%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reading 3. · Brentford 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 28 16 7 5 +12 55
2 Brentford 25 14 8 3 +24 50
3 Reading 27 14 6 7 +11 48
4 Watford 28 13 9 6 +11 48
5 Swansea 24 13 7 4 +16 46
6 Bournemouth 27 12 9 6 +16 45
7 Middlesbrough 28 11 7 10 +3 40
8 Blackburn 27 11 6 10 +12 39
9 Stoke 28 9 12 7 +3 39
10 Bristol City 28 12 3 13 -4 39
11 Cardiff 28 10 7 11 +5 37
12 Barnsley 25 10 6 9 -1 36
13 Preston 28 11 3 14 -4 36
14 Millwall 28 7 14 7 +0 35
15 Luton 27 9 7 11 -7 34
16 Sheffield Weds 28 9 7 12 -9 34
17 QPR 27 8 9 10 -6 33
18 Huddersfield 28 9 6 13 -8 33
19 Nott'm Forest 28 8 8 12 -5 32
20 Coventry 28 7 10 11 -11 31
21 Rotherham 27 8 5 14 -5 29
22 Derby 27 7 7 13 -11 28
23 Birmingham 28 6 10 12 -13 28
24 Wycombe 27 3 7 17 -29 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reading Brentford
1–0 Lucas João
24′
36′
J. Dasilva 1–1
I. Toney
Half-time 1–1
64′
🔁 Sergi Canós
↦ B. Mbeumo
Omar Richards 🟨
74′
S. Aluko 🔁
↦ Alfa Semedo
77′
80′
🔁 S. Ghoddos
↦ T. Fosu
86′
J. Dasilva 1–2
I. Toney
88′
I. Toney 1–3
92′
🔁 J. Žambůrek
↦ J. Dasilva
92′
🔁 M. Forss
↦ M. Jensen
T. Holmes 🔁
↦ O. Ejaria
93′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Reading

4-2-3-1
33 Rafael G
4 M. Morrison D
5 T. Mcintyre D
3 O. Richards D
17 A. Yiadom D
28 J. Laurent M
14 O. Ejaria M
30 Alfa Semedo M
8 A. Rinomhota M
7 M. Olise M
18 Lucas João F
Bench (9)
24 S. Aluko
29 T. Holmes
46 J. Onen
2 Tomás Esteves
9 S. Baldock
22 L. Southwood
15 L. Gibson
34 D. Tetek
50 Mamadi Camará

Coach: V. Paunovic

Brentford

4-3-3
1 David Raya G
22 H. Dalsgaard D
3 R. Henry D
29 M. Sørensen D
5 E. Pinnock D
24 T. Fosu F
8 M. Jensen M
27 V. Janelt M
17 I. Toney F
14 J. Dasilva M
19 B. Mbeumo
Bench (9)
7 Sergi Canós
20 S. Ghoddos
31 J. Žambůrek
15 M. Forss
28 L. Daniels
30 M. Rasmussen
37 A. Gilbert
23 W. Reid
36 F. Stevens

Coach: T. Frank

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,66
U
3,32
B ✓
2,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,72
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Harrington · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.