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Ligue 2

Referee: A Kherradji

Bastia

U U S U S

2–0

Full-time

St Etienne

T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 35%

45%

25%

Points per game

1,6

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

25%

60%

Both score Ø 43%

25%

60%

Average goals

2,0

3,1

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,1

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

13 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

12 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 5. · St Etienne 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	20	12	7	1	+22	43
2	Bordeaux	20	10	6	4	+14	36
3	Sochaux	20	10	3	7	+11	33
4	Metz	20	9	5	6	+9	32
5	Bastia	20	9	4	7	-2	31
6	Amiens	20	8	6	6	+2	30
7	Grenoble	20	8	6	6	+2	30
8	Caen	20	7	8	5	+3	29
9	Quevilly Rouen	20	7	7	6	+1	28
10	Guingamp	20	7	6	7	-2	27
11	Paris FC	20	7	6	7	-4	27
12	Valenciennes	20	6	8	6	-1	26
13	Annecy	20	6	7	7	+1	25
14	Laval	20	7	3	10	-6	24
15	Pau FC	20	5	8	7	-6	23
16	Dijon	20	5	6	9	-4	21
17	St Etienne	20	5	6	9	-6	21
18	Rodez	20	4	7	9	-9	19
19	Nimes	20	5	4	11	-10	19
20	Niort	20	4	5	11	-15	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	10	7	3	0	+12	24
2	Bordeaux	10	6	3	1	+9	21
3	Sochaux	10	6	2	2	+9	20
4	Caen	10	5	4	1	+8	19
5	Bastia	10	6	1	3	+3	19
6	Metz	10	5	3	2	+5	18
7	Amiens	10	5	3	2	+5	18
8	Valenciennes	10	4	6	0	+4	18
9	Grenoble	10	5	2	3	+2	17
10	Quevilly Rouen	10	4	4	2	+4	16
11	Dijon	11	4	4	3	+1	16
12	Nimes	10	5	1	4	+0	16
13	Pau FC	10	3	5	2	-1	14
14	Annecy	10	4	2	4	-1	14
15	Laval	10	4	1	5	+0	13
16	St Etienne	10	3	3	4	-3	12
17	Niort	10	3	2	5	-6	11
18	Guingamp	10	2	3	5	-5	9
19	Paris FC	9	2	3	4	-5	9
20	Rodez	10	1	4	5	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	10	5	4	1	+10	19
2	Guingamp	10	5	3	2	+3	18
3	Paris FC	11	5	3	3	+1	18
4	Bordeaux	10	4	3	3	+5	15
5	Metz	10	4	2	4	+4	14
6	Sochaux	10	4	1	5	+2	13
7	Grenoble	10	3	4	3	+0	13
8	Rodez	10	3	3	4	-1	12
9	Amiens	10	3	3	4	-3	12
10	Quevilly Rouen	10	3	3	4	-3	12
11	Bastia	10	3	3	4	-5	12
12	Annecy	10	2	5	3	+2	11
13	Laval	10	3	2	5	-6	11
14	Caen	10	2	4	4	-5	10
15	St Etienne	10	2	3	5	-3	9
16	Pau FC	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Valenciennes	10	2	2	6	-5	8
18	Niort	10	1	3	6	-9	6
19	Dijon	9	1	2	6	-5	5
20	Nimes	10	0	3	7	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.