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Puchar Polski

Referee: J Przybył

Kalisz

S U S U S

0–1

Full-time

Legia

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalisz Legia

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 72%

60%

83%

Points per game

2,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

80%

50%

Both score Ø 37%

40%

33%

Average goals

5,0

2,7

Scored

3,4

2,2

Conceded

1,6

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+1,7

This season — Puchar Polski · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 68%

60%

75%

Points per game

2,2

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 90%

80%

100%

Both score Ø 45%

40%

50%

Average goals

5,0

3,8

Scored

3,4

2,8

Conceded

1,6

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%

18 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 1

13 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kalisz 3. · Legia 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogoń Siedlce	5	4	0	1	+5	12
2	Motor Lublin	5	4	0	1	+3	12
3	Kalisz	5	3	2	0	+9	11
4	Legia	4	3	1	0	+7	10
5	Górnik Łęczna	4	3	1	0	+3	10
6	Rakow	3	3	0	0	+5	9
7	Radomiak Radom	3	2	1	0	+5	7
8	Slask Wroclaw	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	1	0	+2	7
11	Lechia Zielona Góra	4	2	1	1	+0	7
12	Piast Gliwice	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	Resovia Rzeszów	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	Radunia Stężyca	3	2	0	1	+0	6
15	Wisla	3	1	1	1	+4	4
16	Lechia Gdansk	2	1	1	0	+3	4
17	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2	1	1	0	+3	4
18	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Olimpia Elbląg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
20	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
21	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+3	3
22	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Jastrzębie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	GKS Katowice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	3
26	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	3
27	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
28	Chrobry Głogów	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Wisla Plock	2	1	0	1	-1	3
31	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	LKS Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Pogon Szczecin	2	0	1	1	-1	1
38	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
39	Stal Mielec	2	0	1	1	-3	1
40	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Lechia Dzierżoniów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogoń Siedlce	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	Motor Lublin	4	3	0	1	+1	9
3	Kalisz	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Lechia Zielona Góra	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Resovia Rzeszów	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Górnik Łęczna	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Jastrzębie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	3
13	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Radunia Stężyca	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	LKS Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Wisla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Lechia Dzierżoniów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Rakow	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Radomiak Radom	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Slask Wroclaw	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Gornik Zabrze	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Piast Gliwice	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Olimpia Elbląg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Górnik Łęczna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Wisla	2	1	0	1	+4	3
11	Kalisz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Radunia Stężyca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
20	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Chrobry Głogów	2	1	0	1	+0	3
24	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
25	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
29	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Resovia Rzeszów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.