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DBU Pokalen
Referee: M Dilling

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vanløse 1 1 0 0 +10 3
2 Holstebro 1 1 0 0 +9 3
3 Fredericia 1 1 0 0 +8 3
4 Esbjerg 1 1 0 0 +8 3
5 B 1913 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +6 3
7 Ishøj 1 1 0 0 +6 3
8 Frem 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Horsens 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 Fremad Amager 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 HB Koge 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Næsby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 OKS 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Silkeborg KFUM 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Vejgaard B 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Holbæk B&I 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Allerød 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Hobro 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Skive 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Gørslev 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Brabrand 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Roskilde 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 VSK Århus 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Hillerød 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Aarhus Fremad 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Avarta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 NB Bornholm 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Morud/Veflinge 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 ACFC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Brønshøj 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Hvidovre IF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 B 93 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Vendsyssel FF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Herlev 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Kolding B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Dalum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Middelfart 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Odense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Skjold Birkerød 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 LKB-Gistrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Karlslunde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Lyseng 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Svebølle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Vigerslev 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Sundby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Christiansbjerg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 HIK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Odder 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Vatanspor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Gladsaxe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
57 Aalborg Freja 1 0 0 1 -3 0
58 Jyllinge 1 0 0 1 -3 0
59 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 Gug 1 0 0 1 -3 0
61 Aalborg Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
62 FA 2000 1 0 0 1 -4 0
63 ØB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
64 Skjern 1 0 0 1 -4 0
65 Bagsværd 1 0 0 1 -5 0
66 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -5 0
67 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -5 0
68 Sønderborg Fremad 1 0 0 1 -6 0
69 Varde 1 0 0 1 -6 0
70 NFB 1 0 0 1 -6 0
71 Ringkøbing 1 0 0 1 -8 0
72 Fredericia FF 1 0 0 1 -8 0
73 Lemming 1 0 0 1 -9 0
74 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.