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DBU Pokalen
Referee: M Thomsen
1–4
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nørresundby Silkeborg KFUM
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
6,5
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
5,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-4,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vanløse 1 1 0 0 +10 3
2 Holstebro 1 1 0 0 +9 3
3 Fredericia 1 1 0 0 +8 3
4 Esbjerg 1 1 0 0 +8 3
5 B 1913 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +6 3
7 Ishøj 1 1 0 0 +6 3
8 Frem 1 1 0 0 +5 3
9 Horsens 1 1 0 0 +5 3
10 Fremad Amager 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 HB Koge 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Næsby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 OKS 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Vejgaard B 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Holbæk B&I 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Allerød 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Hobro 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Skive 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Gørslev 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Brabrand 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Roskilde 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 VSK Århus 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Hillerød 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Avarta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 NB Bornholm 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Morud/Veflinge 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 ACFC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Brønshøj 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Hvidovre IF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 B 93 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Vendsyssel FF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Herlev 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Kolding B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Dalum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Middelfart 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Odense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Skjold Birkerød 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 LKB-Gistrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Karlslunde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Lyseng 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Svebølle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Vigerslev 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Sundby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Christiansbjerg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 HIK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Odder 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Gladsaxe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Aalborg Freja 1 0 0 1 -3 0
54 Jyllinge 1 0 0 1 -3 0
55 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -3 0
56 Gug 1 0 0 1 -3 0
57 Aalborg Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
58 FA 2000 1 0 0 1 -4 0
59 ØB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
60 Skjern 1 0 0 1 -4 0
61 Bagsværd 1 0 0 1 -5 0
62 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -5 0
63 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -5 0
64 Sønderborg Fremad 1 0 0 1 -6 0
65 Varde 1 0 0 1 -6 0
66 NFB 1 0 0 1 -6 0
67 Ringkøbing 1 0 0 1 -8 0
68 Fredericia FF 1 0 0 1 -8 0
69 Lemming 1 0 0 1 -9 0
70 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nørresundby Silkeborg KFUM
29′
A. Farej 0–1
45′
F. Nedergaard 0–2
Half-time 0–2
P. Björkman 🔁
↦ K. Nielsen
46′
M. Vægter 🔁
↦ S. Stahlfest
46′
46′
🔁 T. Olesen
↦ A. Farej
47′
🔁 D. Jørgensen
↦ J. Michelsen
49′
F. Nedergaard 0–3
J. Gaardsöe 🔁
↦ M. Dyg
59′
59′
🔁 E. Kurshumliu
↦ Y. Akbayir
63′
🔁 N. Eriksen
↦ S. Andersen
67′
F. Nedergaard 0–4
68′
🔁 M. Friis-Christensen
↦ S. Ryberg
J. Balleby 🔁
↦ L. Ørnberg
70′
M. Mølgaard 🔁
↦ C. Ravn
70′
1–4 J. Flindt
74′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Nørresundby

1 D. Held
4 C. Ravn
15 K. Nielsen
10 L. Ørnberg
3 S. Stahlfest
14 M. Hyldahl
17 P. Sudergaard
21 J. Flindt
5 R. Højer
8 J. Brix
11 M. Dyg
Bench (5)
2 P. Björkman
9 M. Vægter
20 J. Gaardsöe
13 J. Balleby
22 M. Mølgaard

Coach: K. Stiller

Silkeborg KFUM

24 J. Michelsen
1 K. Andersen
21 S. Jensen
11 H. Brodersen
10 J. Grøn
2 A. Farej
19 S. Ryberg
5 A. Travljanin
20 Y. Akbayir
8 F. Nedergaard
12 S. Andersen
Bench (6)
17 T. Olesen
9 D. Jørgensen
23 E. Kurshumliu
14 N. Eriksen
6 M. Friis-Christensen
18 L. Scheler

Coach: T. Loft Jensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Thomsen · 12 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.