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DBU Pokalen
Referee: J Bøgelund
1–8
Full-time
Esbjerg
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kolding IF 1 1 0 0 +18 3
2 B 93 1 1 0 0 +16 3
3 Hillerød 1 1 0 0 +7 3
4 FA 2000 1 1 0 0 +7 3
5 Middelfart 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 Ishøj 1 1 0 0 +6 3
7 VRI 1 1 0 0 +5 3
8 Næsby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 FC Helsingor 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Kolding B 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Skjold Sæby 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Viby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Brønshøj 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Ringsted 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Lyseng 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 SfB-Oure 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Dalum 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Bagsværd 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 HB Koge 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 VSK Århus 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Vanløse 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Gørslev 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 AB Tårnby 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Thisted FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Taastrup 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Skjold Birkerød 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Søften 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Sonderjyske 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 HIK 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Nykobing FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 AB Copenhagen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Skive 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Ringkøbing 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 B 1908 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 B 1909 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Fjordager 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 tst Fodbold 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Vejgaard B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Glostrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Amager FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Gug 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Horsens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Greve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 LSF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Odder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Otterup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 OKS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Jetsmark 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Køge Union 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
61 Bispebjerg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
62 Morud/Veflinge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
63 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -4 0
64 Varde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
65 Frederiksholm Sydhavnen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
66 Højslev IF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
67 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
68 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
69 BSF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
70 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -7 0
71 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -16 0
72 Avrasya 1 0 0 1 -18 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

KRFK Esbjerg
1–0 F. Olsen
8′
23′
A. Lausen 1–1
31′
E. Sørensen 1–2
34′
T. Stagaard 1–3
37′
E. Sørensen 1–4
42′
M. Hansen 1–5
44′
A. Lausen 1–6
Half-time 1–6
T. Dinesen 🔁
↦ C. Mertz
46′
46′
🔁 T. Bjørnebye
↦ E. Sørensen
46′
🔁 B. Bytyqi
↦ L. Montano
57′
A. Lausen 1–7
P. Thomsen 🔁
↦ M. Vobbe
61′
70′
🔁 J. Mortensen
↦ S. Simpson
70′
🔁 N. Strunck
↦ A. Lausen
H. Bruun 🔁
↦ K. Eriksen
77′
E. Madsen 🔁
↦ F. Olsen
82′
83′
M. Hansen 1–8
85′
🟨 T. Bjornebye
85′
🟥 T. Bjornebye
Full-time 1–8

Line-ups

KRFK

6 M. Obbekær
3 H. Vinter
14 M. Vobbe
13 K. Eriksen
15 J. Sørensen
9 C. Mertz
16 T. Jørgensen
8 F. Olsen
12 K. Jensen
M. Young
Bench (9)
11 T. Dinesen
7 P. Thomsen
4 H. Bruun
10 E. Madsen
51 J. í Hoyvik Mortensen
5 T. Mortensen
G. Andersen
M. Ejner
V. Olsen

Coach: J. Vinther

Esbjerg

14 O. Obel-Hall
16 D. Gadegaard
30 C. Ouzounidis
15 T. Stagaard
3 O. Svendsen
5 A. Troelsen
12 A. Lausen
18 M. Hansen
9 E. Sørensen
21 L. Montano
17 S. Simpson
Bench (9)
4 T. Bjørnebye
7 B. Bytyqi
2 J. Mortensen
19 N. Strunck
1 L. Jonsson
8 M. Larsen
11 E. Holten
20 Y. Bourhane
22 Í. Ólafsson

Coach: L. Sørensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.