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DBU Pokalen

Referee: O Simbold

Jyllinge

3–0

Full-time

BK Union

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aarhus Fremad	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Fredericia	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Ringkøbing	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Sonderjyske	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Vejle	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Thisted FC	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	HB Koge	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Skive	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Naestved	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Ishøj	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	AB Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Roskilde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Allerød	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Frem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	FA 2000	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Karlslunde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Vendsyssel FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Vanløse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Hobro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Viby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Vatanspor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Kolding IF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	SfB-Oure	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Jammerbugt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Tuse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Hedensted	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Marienlyst	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Varde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Brabrand	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	SGI	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Slagelse B&I	1	0	0	1	-5	0
68	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
69	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
70	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
71	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
72	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Allerød	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Vatanspor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Kolding IF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Tuse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Fremad Amager	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Hedensted	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Varde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Odder	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	SGI	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Aabenraa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Klitmøller	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	HIK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	B 1909	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Hvidovre IF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	FB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	B 93	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Såby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Avarta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	VSK Århus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Vejgaard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	VRI	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Farsø/Ullits	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Solrød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	OKS	1	0	0	1	-4	0
29	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-4	0
30	Skovshoved	1	0	0	1	-4	0
31	Slagelse B&I	1	0	0	1	-5	0
32	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-6	0
33	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-7	0
34	Broager	1	0	0	1	-8	0
35	Øster Hornum	1	0	0	1	-8	0
36	AIA-Tranbjerg	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aarhus Fremad	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Fredericia	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Ringkøbing	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Middelfart	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Sonderjyske	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Vejle	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Thisted FC	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	HB Koge	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Skive	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Naestved	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Ishøj	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	FC Helsingor	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	AB Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Roskilde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Frem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	FA 2000	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Karlslunde	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Vendsyssel FF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Vanløse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Hobro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Viby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	SfB-Oure	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Jammerbugt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Marienlyst	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Brabrand	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Marstal / Rise	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	NB Bornholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Dalum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	KFUM Roskilde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Esbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

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Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

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U1,5

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O2,5 ✓

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U2,5

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O3,5

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U3,5 ✓

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Both teams to score

BLS ja

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BLS nei ✓

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The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Odds comparison

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