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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: J Tennøy
Sogndal
U T U S U
4–3
Full-time
Stabaek
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,8
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 47%
47%
47%
Points per game
1,7
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
67%
40%
Both score Ø 57%
73%
40%
Average goals
3,4
2,4
Scored
1,9
1,7
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sogndal 5. · Stabaek 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 15 12 3 0 +35 39
2 Stabaek 15 7 7 1 +14 28
3 Ranheim 15 8 4 3 +7 28
4 Mjondalen 16 8 3 5 -2 27
5 Sogndal 15 7 4 4 +5 25
6 Sandnes ULF 14 8 1 5 -4 25
7 Start 15 6 5 4 +10 23
8 Raufoss 15 6 5 4 -5 23
9 KFUM Oslo 14 6 4 4 +2 22
10 Fredrikstad 15 5 6 4 +4 21
11 Asane 15 4 5 6 -10 17
12 Kongsvinger 12 3 5 4 +4 14
13 Bryne 15 3 4 8 -6 13
14 Skeid 16 2 1 13 -16 7
15 Grorud 16 0 6 10 -18 6
16 Stjørdals-Blink 15 1 3 11 -20 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Stabaek
M. Blarud 🟨
6′
1–0 E. Grønner
17′
2–0 H. Gunnarsson
27′
E. Lereng 🔁
↦ M. Gueye
29′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 E. Grønner
57′
62′
🔁 L. Kassi
↦ V. Wernersson
62′
🔁 T. Lange
↦ N. Jenssen
4–0 E. Grønner
63′
67′
G. Orban 4–1
68′
🟨 K. K. Kostadinov
R. Fij 🟨
71′
76′
H. Geelmuyden 4–2
A. Hoven 🔁
↦ U. Mathisen
79′
E. Gronner 🟨
80′
81′
G. Orban 4–3
84′
🔁 P. Metcalfe
↦ K. Kostadinov
84′
🔁 P. Vogt
↦ S. Ottesen
K. Hoven 🔁
↦ E. Grønner
85′
S. Ørjasæter 🔁
↦ J. Jónsson
85′
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Sogndal

1 R. Fij
5 H. Gunnarsson
6 A. Kryger
3 M. Gueye
26 A. van der Spa
17 M. Blårud
15 K. Nessø
7 J. Jónsson
8 V. Ingimundarson
19 U. Mathisen
28 E. Grønner
Bench (9)
16 E. Lereng
11 A. Hoven
18 K. Hoven
27 S. Ørjasæter
9 E. Kupen
14 P. Michael
21 J. Johnsen
23 A. Nord
30 E. Flataker

Coach: T. Flo

Stabaek

12 M. Sandberg
4 S. Wangberg
3 N. Næss
19 V. Wernersson
5 N. Jenssen
15 S. Ottesen
14 F. Krogstad
8 C. Edwards
24 K. Kostadinov
10 H. Geelmuyden
16 G. Orban
Bench (8)
6 L. Kassi
13 T. Lange
18 P. Metcalfe
22 P. Vogt
1 M. Ulla
2 K. Pedersen
31 O. Veum
36 M. Seim-Monsen

Coach: E. Kjønø

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Tennøy · 86 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.