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KNVB Beker
Referee: C Ruperti
Den Bosch
S U U T U
2–1
Full-time
Katwijk
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Bosch Katwijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — KNVB Beker · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
6,0
2,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
24 Shots 20
7 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 10
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Den Bosch 54. · Katwijk 58.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hsc 21 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Hoogeveen 4 3 0 1 +4 9
3 Hoek 3 3 0 0 +4 9
4 Sportlust '46 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 SC Genemuiden 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Heracles 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 Spakenburg 2 2 0 0 +6 6
8 De Treffers 2 2 0 0 +5 6
9 Excelsior Maassluis 2 2 0 0 +5 6
10 Eemdijk 3 2 0 1 +4 6
11 GVVV Veenendaal 2 2 0 0 +3 6
12 Halsteren 3 2 0 1 +2 6
13 Capelle 3 2 0 1 +1 6
14 Dovo 3 2 0 1 +1 6
15 ROHDA Raalte 3 2 0 1 +1 6
16 Gemert 3 2 0 1 +1 6
17 Sparta Nijkerk 3 2 0 1 +0 6
18 FC Lisse 3 2 0 1 -1 6
19 Barendrecht 2 1 1 0 +1 4
20 Willem II 1 1 0 0 +7 3
21 Telstar 1 1 0 0 +5 3
22 Roda 1 1 0 0 +4 3
23 Kozakken Boys 2 1 0 1 +3 3
24 Sparta Rotterdam 1 1 0 0 +3 3
25 Twente 1 1 0 0 +3 3
26 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
27 Excelsior '31 2 1 0 1 +2 3
28 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +2 3
29 Hercules 2 1 0 1 +2 3
30 Koninklijke HFC 2 1 0 1 +2 3
31 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +2 3
32 Almere City 1 1 0 0 +2 3
33 FC OSS 1 1 0 0 +2 3
34 Zwolle 2 1 0 1 +1 3
35 ASWH 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Waalwijk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 UDI '19 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Nijmegen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Roosendaal 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 Volendam 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
42 AFC Amsterdam 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
44 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 't Zand 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 TEC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 HHC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 HZVV 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 URK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 ARC 2 1 0 1 -4 3
53 Groene Ster 2 0 2 0 +0 2
54 Den Bosch 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Den Haag 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Heino 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 De Foresters 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Katwijk 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 VVOG 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 VV Scherpenzeel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
62 Blauw Geel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
63 Cambuur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 FC Eindhoven 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Poortugaal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Rijnsburgse Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Quick Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Zwaluwen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Westlandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Excelsior 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Rijnvogels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 De Graafschap 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Aalsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Mierlo-Hout 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 MVV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 ACV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Walcheren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Staphorst 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 AWC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Juliana '31 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 Groningen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Sportclub 25 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 Helmond Sport 1 0 0 1 -3 0
94 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
95 VVV Venlo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
96 DVO 1 0 0 1 -3 0
97 Olde Veste '54 1 0 0 1 -3 0
98 FC Emmen 2 0 0 2 -4 0
99 GOES 1 0 0 1 -4 0
100 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -4 0
101 Dongen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
102 Erp 1 0 0 1 -4 0
103 Velocitas 1 0 0 1 -5 0
104 Dordrecht 1 0 0 1 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Den Bosch Katwijk
8′
M. Suleiman 0–1
G. Korte
1–1 J. Fortes
16′
Half-time 1–1
D. Verbeek 🔁
↦ D. Kuijpers
61′
Z. el Bakkali 🔁
↦ B. Wang
61′
62′
🟨 Mohammed Tahiri
Zaid el Bakkali 🟨
65′
69′
🟨 Bart Sinteur
S. Karlsson Grach 🔁
↦ I. Boumassaoudi
77′
A. Boushaba 🔁
↦ S. Maas
77′
77′
🔁 F. Janmaat
↦ M. Brenna
88′
🔁 D. Van der Moot
↦ M. Tahiri
2–1 A. Boushaba
E. Semedo
90′
91′
🔁 K. van der Veldt
↦ J. Ravensbergen
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Den Bosch

4-2-3-1
36 P. van de Merbel G
22 J. Fortes D
3 S. Maas D
5 N. de Groot D
33 M. Laros D
16 B. Wang M
6 K. Felida M
17 E. Semedo M
10 T. van Leeuwen M
40 I. Boumassaoudi M
19 D. Kuijpers F
Bench (9)
1 B. van Dee
48 D. Toussaint
9 S. Karlsson Grach
11 D. Verbeek
26 Z. el Bakkali
34 D. van Dijk
38 D. Bodo
46 A. Boushaba
51 S. van Daalen

Coach: Ulrich Landvreugd

Katwijk

4-4-2
41 S. van Bladeren G
15 B. Sinteur D
5 Y. van der Pluijm D
4 D. Maatsen D
3 J. Ravensbergen D
7 G. Korte M
16 D. van Wageningen M
6 R. van der Meer M
10 M. Suleiman M
22 M. Brenna F
19 M. Tahiri F
Bench (11)
1 J. Kesting
25 V. Zandbergen
8 F. Janmaat
14 K. van der Veldt
9 D. Van der Moot
18 A. Kamperveen
29 M. Mengerink
46 A. Menelik
24 K. Zuyderduyn
23 M. Kooij
20 O. van der Meer

Coach: Jasper Ketting

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.