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KNVB Beker

Referee: P van Boekel

Nijmegen

U S S U S

3–0

Full-time

Den Haag

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Den Haag

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,3

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

2,7

1,7

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — KNVB Beker · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

6,0

2,0

Scored

4,3

1,7

Conceded

1,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

10 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nijmegen 4. · Den Haag 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hercules	5	3	1	1	+5	10
2	Quick Boys	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	RKAV Volendam	4	3	0	1	+9	9
4	Nijmegen	3	3	0	0	+8	9
5	Cambuur	3	3	0	0	+7	9
6	Groningen	3	3	0	0	+5	9
7	DEM	4	3	0	1	+4	9
8	Den Haag	3	3	0	0	+4	9
9	For Sittard	3	3	0	0	+4	9
10	Vitesse	3	3	0	0	+3	9
11	Excelsior Maassluis	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Go Ahead Eagles	3	2	0	1	+8	6
13	Almere City	3	2	0	1	+7	6
14	Groene Ster	3	2	0	1	+6	6
15	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
16	Spakenburg	3	2	0	1	+2	6
17	Hoogeveen	3	2	0	1	+2	6
18	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Eemdijk	3	2	0	1	+1	6
20	Ijsselmeervogels	3	2	0	1	+1	6
21	AFC Amsterdam	3	2	0	1	+1	6
22	De Treffers	3	2	0	1	+0	6
23	Excelsior	3	2	0	1	+0	6
24	OJC Rosmalen	3	2	0	1	-1	6
25	UNA	3	2	0	1	-1	6
26	GVVV Veenendaal	3	2	0	1	-1	6
27	Gemert	2	1	1	0	+2	4
28	RKSV Nuenen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
29	AZ Alkmaar	2	1	1	0	+1	4
30	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
31	SJC Noordwijk	3	1	1	1	-1	4
32	TEC	3	1	1	1	-3	4
33	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+4	3
34	Katwijk	2	1	0	1	+4	3
35	Heerenveen	2	1	0	1	+3	3
36	VV Scherpenzeel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
37	Blauw Geel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
38	GVV Unitas	2	1	0	1	+2	3
39	HHC	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+1	3
41	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
42	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Harkemase Boys	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Willem II	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Utrecht	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Hoek	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+0	3
49	De Graafschap	2	1	0	1	+0	3
50	Koninklijke HFC	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Dordrecht	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Westlandia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
53	HVCH	2	1	0	1	-1	3
54	FC Lisse	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	Csv Apeldoorn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	Olde Veste '54	2	1	0	1	-1	3
57	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	-1	3
58	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
59	Barendrecht	2	1	0	1	-2	3
60	Staphorst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
61	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Vvsb	2	0	1	1	-1	1
64	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Ajax	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Jubbega	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Chevremont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
91	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-2	0
92	Twente	1	0	0	1	-2	0
93	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
94	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-2	0
95	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
96	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
97	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	MVV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
101	Avanti '31	1	0	0	1	-3	0
102	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
103	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-4	0
104	ACV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
105	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
106	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
107	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
108	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
109	Groen Wit '62	1	0	0	1	-6	0
110	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	DEM	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	RKAV Volendam	3	2	0	1	+7	6
3	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Groene Ster	3	2	0	1	+6	6
5	Nijmegen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Sparta Nijkerk	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Quick Boys	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Spakenburg	3	2	0	1	+2	6
9	Feyenoord	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Vitesse	2	2	0	0	+2	6
11	Hercules	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	GVVV Veenendaal	3	2	0	1	-1	6
13	RKSV Nuenen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
14	TEC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
15	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	SJC Noordwijk	3	1	1	1	-1	4
17	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+6	3
18	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+4	3
19	Katwijk	2	1	0	1	+4	3
20	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	GVV Unitas	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Hoogeveen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Westlandia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Den Haag	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	HHC	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Hoek	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	AFC Amsterdam	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	FC Lisse	2	1	0	1	-1	3
37	Ijsselmeervogels	2	1	0	1	-1	3
38	Csv Apeldoorn	2	1	0	1	-1	3
39	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
40	OJC Rosmalen	2	1	0	1	-3	3
41	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Vvsb	2	0	1	1	-1	1
43	Hsc 21	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Almere City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Den Bosch	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	AWC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	AGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Veensche Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Jubbega	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	HVCH	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Excelsior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Nieuwkoop	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Purmersteijn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Avanti '31	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	ACV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Zwaluw VFC	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Groningen	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	For Sittard	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Almere City	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Cambuur	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Excelsior	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	UNA	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Hercules	2	1	1	0	+4	4
9	Gemert	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Quick Boys	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	VV Scherpenzeel	2	1	0	1	+3	3
14	Go Ahead Eagles	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Dordrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	OJC Rosmalen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Ijsselmeervogels	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	RKAV Volendam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Olde Veste '54	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	HVCH	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Harkemase Boys	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Sportlust '46	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	AFC Amsterdam	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Hoogeveen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Staphorst	2	1	0	1	-2	3
34	De Treffers	2	1	0	1	-4	3
35	Rijnvogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Dovo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Ajax	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	SC Genemuiden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Berkum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Bon Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Heerenveen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	PSV Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Kozakken Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	URK	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Telstar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	XerxesDZB (Zat)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Volendam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	HSV ODIN 59	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Roda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	GVV Unitas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Chevremont	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Twente	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	De Graafschap	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	ONS Sneek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	MVV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	VVV Venlo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
71	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	SVOD '22	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Blauw Wit '34	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Eemdijk	1	0	0	1	-5	0
75	TEC	1	0	0	1	-5	0
76	Bunde	1	0	0	1	-5	0
77	Groen Wit '62	1	0	0	1	-6	0
78	BOL	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.