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Coupe de France
Referee: A Perreau Niel
Montreuil
S U S
2–4
Full-time
Amiens
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montreuil Amiens
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
This season — Coupe de France · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
1,3
3,0
Conceded
0,7
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Montreuil 16. · Amiens 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 3 3 0 0 +13 9
2 Reims 3 3 0 0 +9 9
3 Amiens 3 3 0 0 +9 9
4 Orleans 3 3 0 0 +7 9
5 Troyes 3 3 0 0 +7 9
6 Chantilly 3 3 0 0 +7 9
7 Montpellier 3 3 0 0 +5 9
8 Bayeux 3 3 0 0 +3 9
9 Le Puy Foot 3 3 0 0 +3 9
10 Sochaux 3 2 1 0 +8 7
11 Bastia 3 2 1 0 +7 7
12 Nancy 3 2 1 0 +6 7
13 Grenoble 3 2 1 0 +4 7
14 Les Herbiers 3 2 1 0 +3 7
15 Istres 3 2 1 0 +3 7
16 Montreuil 3 2 1 0 +2 7
17 St Etienne 3 2 0 1 +11 6
18 St Maur Lusitanos 3 2 0 1 +9 6
19 Olympique Marcquois 3 2 0 1 +5 6
20 Pontivy GSI 3 2 0 1 +5 6
21 Feignies-Aulnoye 3 2 0 1 +4 6
22 Guingamp 3 2 0 1 +4 6
23 Lyon Duchere 3 2 0 1 +3 6
24 Canet Roussillon 3 2 0 1 +3 6
25 Concarneau 3 2 0 1 +2 6
26 Dieppe 3 2 0 1 +1 6
27 Bordeaux 3 2 0 1 +1 6
28 Bourg-en-bresse 01 3 2 0 1 -3 6
29 Le Mans 3 1 2 0 +1 5
30 Hauts Lyonnais 3 1 2 0 +1 5
31 SA Mérignac 3 1 2 0 +1 5
32 Dunkerque 3 1 1 1 +4 4
33 Chauvigny 3 1 1 1 +3 4
34 Aubervilliers 2 1 1 0 +3 4
35 Mulhouse 2 1 1 0 +3 4
36 Feurs 2 1 1 0 +2 4
37 Granville 2 1 1 0 +2 4
38 Bassin d'Arcachon Sud 3 1 1 1 +2 4
39 Romorantin 2 1 1 0 +2 4
40 Red Star 2 1 1 0 +2 4
41 Périgny 3 1 1 1 +1 4
42 Poitiers 2 1 1 0 +1 4
43 Marmande 2 1 1 0 +1 4
44 Raon l'Etape 3 1 1 1 +0 4
45 Vendée Fontenay 3 1 1 1 -1 4
46 Biesheim 3 1 1 1 -2 4
47 Les Sables-d'Olonne 3 1 1 1 -2 4
48 Freyming 3 1 1 1 -2 4
49 Croix Football IC 3 1 1 1 -3 4
50 Gosier 3 1 1 1 -6 4
51 Lorient 1 1 0 0 +7 3
52 Marseille 1 1 0 0 +6 3
53 Ancienne Château-Gontier 2 1 0 1 +5 3
54 Paris SG 1 1 0 0 +4 3
55 Stade Briochin 2 1 0 1 +3 3
56 Racing Besançon 2 1 0 1 +3 3
57 Lyon 1 1 0 0 +3 3
58 Rennes 1 1 0 0 +3 3
59 Paris FC 1 1 0 0 +3 3
60 Metz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
61 Carnoux 2 1 0 1 +2 3
62 MJEP Cormontreuil 2 1 0 1 +2 3
63 Nantes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
64 Lens 1 1 0 0 +2 3
65 Chalon 2 1 0 1 +2 3
66 Sarreguemines 2 1 0 1 +1 3
67 Stade Plabennec 2 1 0 1 +1 3
68 Rodez 2 1 0 1 +1 3
69 Nice 1 1 0 0 +1 3
70 Strasbourg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
71 Monaco 1 1 0 0 +1 3
72 Pau FC 2 1 0 1 +1 3
73 Toulouse 1 1 0 0 +1 3
74 Lille 1 1 0 0 +1 3
75 Mazeres 2 1 0 1 +0 3
76 Annecy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
77 Avranches 3 0 3 0 +0 3
78 Bondues 2 1 0 1 +0 3
79 Union Saint-Jean 2 1 0 1 +0 3
80 Yvetot 2 1 0 1 +0 3
81 Chateauroux 2 1 0 1 -1 3
82 Montceau 2 1 0 1 -1 3
83 Beaucouzé 2 1 0 1 -1 3
84 Torcy 2 1 0 1 -2 3
85 Reims Sainte-Anne 2 1 0 1 -3 3
86 Abbeville 2 1 0 1 -4 3
87 Saint-Pauloise 2 1 0 1 -5 3
88 Oissel 2 0 2 0 +0 2
89 Villeneuve-la-Garenne 2 0 2 0 +0 2
90 Rhone-Vallee 2 0 2 0 +0 2
91 Steenvoorde 2 0 2 0 +0 2
92 Saint-Malo 2 0 2 0 +0 2
93 Blois 3 0 2 1 -1 2
94 Stade Béthunois 3 0 2 1 -2 2
95 Saint-Cyr Collonges 3 0 2 1 -3 2
96 Nord Lozère 1 0 1 0 +0 1
97 Boulogne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
98 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
99 Racing Colombes 92 1 0 1 0 +0 1
100 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
101 Pontarlier 1 0 1 0 +0 1
102 Etoile Matoury 1 0 1 0 +0 1
103 Wittenheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
104 Andrézieux 1 0 1 0 +0 1
105 Brest 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Loon-Plage 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Saint-Meziery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Grasse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Villars-l'Isle 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 Chambly Thelle FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 Ivry 1 0 1 0 +0 1
113 Etoile Bobigny 1 0 1 0 +0 1
114 Saint-Brice Courcelles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
115 Pen Hir 1 0 1 0 +0 1
116 Épernay 1 0 1 0 +0 1
117 Clermont 1 0 1 0 +0 1
118 Drancy 1 0 1 0 +0 1
119 Gobelins 1 0 1 0 +0 1
120 Angers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
121 Colomiers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
122 Sablé 1 0 1 0 +0 1
123 Chamalières 1 0 1 0 +0 1
124 Thonon Évian 1 0 1 0 +0 1
125 Aubagne 1 0 1 0 +0 1
126 Eveil 1 0 1 0 +0 1
127 Mauguio Carnon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
128 Le Geldar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
129 Plouvorn 2 0 1 1 -1 1
130 Selongey 2 0 1 1 -1 1
131 Beauvais 2 0 1 1 -1 1
132 APM Metz 2 0 1 1 -2 1
133 UF Touraine 2 0 1 1 -2 1
134 Seyssinet-Pariset 2 0 1 1 -2 1
135 Bogny 2 0 1 1 -3 1
136 Espoir Ste Luce 2 0 1 1 -4 1
137 Sarre Union 2 0 1 1 -6 1
138 Ecotay Moingt 2 0 1 1 -10 1
139 Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Moulien 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Caen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Seignosse Capbreton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 ES Cappelle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 Auxerre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
145 Gazelec FC Ajaccio 1 0 0 1 -1 0
146 Cannes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
147 Saint-Colomban Locminé 1 0 0 1 -1 0
148 L'Etrat La Tour 1 0 0 1 -1 0
149 Caen PTT 1 0 0 1 -1 0
150 Lapalisse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
151 SS Allinges 1 0 0 1 -1 0
152 Boé Bon Encontre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
153 ASPTT Dijon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
154 OCPAM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
155 Angoulême 1 0 0 1 -1 0
156 FC 2 Rives 82 1 0 0 1 -1 0
157 Bandrele 1 0 0 1 -1 0
158 Montmorillon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
159 Dominicaine 1 0 0 1 -1 0
160 Savigneux Montbrison 1 0 0 1 -2 0
161 Furiani-Agliani 1 0 0 1 -2 0
162 Orvault SF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
163 Dinan Léhon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
164 Lavaur 1 0 0 1 -2 0
165 Quetigny 1 0 0 1 -2 0
166 Le Havre 1 0 0 1 -2 0
167 Trélissac 1 0 0 1 -2 0
168 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -2 0
169 Agde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
170 Challans 1 0 0 1 -2 0
171 Forbach 1 0 0 1 -2 0
172 Atlas Paillade 1 0 0 1 -2 0
173 Avion 1 0 0 1 -2 0
174 Plédran 1 0 0 1 -2 0
175 Longuenesse 1 0 0 1 -2 0
176 Pierrelatte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
177 Le Poinconnet 1 0 0 1 -2 0
178 SA Beaumont 1 0 0 1 -3 0
179 Porto Portugais Amiens 1 0 0 1 -3 0
180 Blagnac 1 0 0 1 -3 0
181 Auch 1 0 0 1 -3 0
182 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -3 0
183 France Aizenay 1 0 0 1 -3 0
184 ASS Still Mutzig 1 0 0 1 -3 0
185 Olympique de Villefontaine 1 0 0 1 -3 0
186 Magenta 1 0 0 1 -3 0
187 Auby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
188 Les Bleuets 1 0 0 1 -3 0
189 Montreal-la-Cluse 1 0 0 1 -3 0
190 Premontre 1 0 0 1 -3 0
191 Saint-Amand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
192 Pirae 1 0 0 1 -4 0
193 Avenir Sportif de Gouzon 1 0 0 1 -4 0
194 Cambrai 1 0 0 1 -4 0
195 Saint-Renan 1 0 0 1 -4 0
196 Thionville Lusitanos 1 0 0 1 -4 0
197 GSA Tomblaine 1 0 0 1 -5 0
198 OS Aire-Sur-La-Lys 1 0 0 1 -5 0
199 US Chateau-Malo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
200 Le Cellier Mauves 1 0 0 1 -6 0
201 Camon 1 0 0 1 -7 0
202 Stade Quimperlois 1 0 0 1 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Montreuil Amiens
1–0 A. Adel ⚽
I. Semedo
1′
8′
⚽ Y. Rafii 1–1
13′
⚽ Y. Ikia Dimi 1–2
T. Averlant
29′
⚽ T. Averlant 1–3
Y. Rafii
O. Diallo 🔁
↦ B. Niakate
31′
El Anrif Mhadjiri 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–4
46′
⚽ R. Lutin 1–4
A. Leautey
2–4 I. Kadded ⚽
A. Adel
48′
F. Diabate 🔁
↦ S. Soumare
65′
M. Lounici 🔁
↦ E. A. Mhadjiri
65′
Ilyes Dos Santos Semedo 🟨
71′
73′
🔁 O. Aissat
↦ R. Lutin
Y. Serradj 🔁
↦ I. Semedo
74′
N. Muteba 🔁
↦ K. Toussi
74′
74′
🔁 I. Daf
↦ A. Lo
Nkashama Muteba 🟨
78′
Nkashama Muteba 🟨
80′
Nkashama Muteba 🟥
80′
81′
🔁 P. Paul
↦ Y. Rafii
83′
🟨 Oscar Aïssat
87′
🔁 I. Abdelkrim
↦ I. Fofana
88′
🔁 A. Drame
↦ K. Kaiboue
93′
🟨 Yvan Ikia Dimi
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Montreuil

1 O. Sissoko G
2 K. Guede D
5 B. Niakate D
4 M. Sow D
3 M. Khaouad D
6 K. Toussi M
10 A. Adel M
8 E. A. Mhadjiri M
7 I. Semedo F
9 I. Kadded F
11 S. Soumare F
Bench (9)
16 S. Minte
12 Y. Serradj
13 M. Coulibaly
14 F. Diabate
15 O. Diallo
17 N. Muteba
18 L. Sylla
19 M. Lounici
20 M. Sangare

Amiens

3-4-3
1 A. Sauvage G
4 S. Bakayoko D
2 A. Lo D
6 K. Kaiboue D
11 T. Averlant M
8 I. Fofana M
5 J. Nduquidi M
3 Y. Ikia Dimi M
7 A. Leautey F
9 Y. Rafii F
10 R. Lutin F
Bench (9)
16 L. Alexandre
12 A. Chabane
13 I. Daf
14 O. Aissat
15 P. Paul
17 A. Chibozo
18 A. Drame
19 I. Abdelkrim
20 D. Akinleye

Coach: Julien Ielsch

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Perreau Niel · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.