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Championship

Referee: L Doughty

Hull

U S S S S

0–0

Full-time

Watford

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Watford

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Championship · 27/29 matches

Win Ø 47%

56%

38%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

63%

48%

Both score Ø 63%

59%

66%

Average goals

2,9

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,30 xG 0,93

40% Possession 60%

6 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 9

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hull 4. · Watford 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Coventry	30	17	7	6	+28	+22.4	58
2	Ipswich	29	14	9	6	+21	+24.1	51
3	Middlesbrough	27	15	6	6	+11	+9.4	51
4	Hull	27	15	5	7	+9	-12.6	50
5	Millwall	29	14	8	7	+3	+5.4	50
6	Wrexham	30	12	11	7	+7	-3.5	47
7	Derby	30	12	9	9	+7	-3.5	45
8	Preston	30	11	11	8	+3	-8.9	44
9	Bristol City	30	12	7	11	+4	-0.5	43
10	Watford	29	11	10	8	+4	+5.3	43
11	QPR	30	12	7	11	-1	+2.2	43
12	Stoke	30	12	6	12	+6	-6.8	42
13	Birmingham	30	11	9	10	+3	+14.2	42
14	Southampton	28	10	9	9	+6	+12.1	39
15	Swansea	30	11	6	13	-3	-5.8	39
16	Leicester	30	10	8	12	-5	-11.0	38
17	Sheffield United	29	11	3	15	-2	+11.6	36
18	Charlton	29	9	8	12	-9	-13.6	35
19	Norwich	30	9	6	15	-5	-10.3	33
20	Portsmouth	28	8	9	11	-10	-3.6	33
21	West Brom	30	9	5	16	-15	+3.8	32
22	Blackburn	29	7	8	14	-12	+3.6	29
23	Oxford	29	6	9	14	-11	-5.7	27
24	Sheffield Weds	29	1	8	20	-39	-28.4	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Coventry	14	11	2	1	+20	+12.1	35
2	Ipswich	16	10	5	1	+18	+20.1	35
3	Middlesbrough	14	9	3	2	+10	+4.0	30
4	Millwall	15	9	3	3	+6	+8.3	30
5	Watford	16	8	5	3	+7	+5.3	29
6	Birmingham	14	7	6	1	+14	+16.2	27
7	QPR	15	8	2	5	+7	+8.5	26
8	Hull	13	8	2	3	+4	-3.4	26
9	Swansea	15	7	4	4	+2	-1.6	25
10	Bristol City	16	7	3	6	+5	+0.3	24
11	Wrexham	15	6	6	3	+4	+5.8	24
12	Preston	15	6	5	4	+3	-0.8	23
13	Southampton	13	6	4	3	+6	+9.1	22
14	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	+3	+4.5	22
15	Leicester	15	6	4	5	+1	+0.7	22
16	West Brom	14	6	4	4	-1	+8.4	22
17	Stoke	15	6	3	6	+5	-0.6	21
18	Charlton	13	6	3	4	+1	-2.7	21
19	Sheffield United	13	6	2	5	+7	+11.4	20
20	Derby	15	4	6	5	-3	-0.6	18
21	Oxford	15	3	6	6	-6	+0.5	15
22	Norwich	14	4	1	9	-6	-1.7	13
23	Blackburn	15	2	5	8	-8	+3.2	11
24	Sheffield Weds	16	0	4	12	-26	-14.2	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Derby	15	8	3	4	+10	-2.8	27
2	Hull	14	7	3	4	+5	-9.2	24
3	Coventry	16	6	5	5	+8	+10.3	23
4	Wrexham	15	6	5	4	+3	-9.3	23
5	Middlesbrough	13	6	3	4	+1	+5.3	21
6	Stoke	15	6	3	6	+1	-6.2	21
7	Preston	15	5	6	4	+0	-8.1	21
8	Norwich	16	5	5	6	+1	-8.6	20
9	Millwall	14	5	5	4	-3	-2.9	20
10	Bristol City	14	5	4	5	-1	-0.8	19
11	Blackburn	14	5	3	6	-4	+0.4	18
12	Southampton	15	4	5	6	+0	+3.0	17
13	QPR	15	4	5	6	-8	-6.3	17
14	Ipswich	13	4	4	5	+3	+4.1	16
15	Leicester	15	4	4	7	-6	-11.7	16
16	Sheffield United	16	5	1	10	-9	+0.2	16
17	Birmingham	16	4	3	9	-11	-1.9	15
18	Watford	13	3	5	5	-3	-0.0	14
19	Swansea	15	4	2	9	-5	-4.2	14
20	Charlton	16	3	5	8	-10	-11.0	14
21	Oxford	14	3	3	8	-5	-6.1	12
22	Portsmouth	13	2	5	6	-13	-8.1	11
23	West Brom	16	3	1	12	-14	-4.6	10
24	Sheffield Weds	13	1	4	8	-13	-14.2	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.