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Championship
Referee: A Backhouse
3–1
Full-time
Oxford
U U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield United Oxford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 30%
38%
21%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
55%
48%
Both score Ø 50%
45%
55%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,00 xG 1,06
70% Possession 30%
11 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
10 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield United 17. · Oxford 23.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Coventry 30 17 7 6 +28 +22.4 58
2 Ipswich 29 14 9 6 +21 +24.1 51
3 Middlesbrough 27 15 6 6 +11 +9.4 51
4 Hull 27 15 5 7 +9 -12.6 50
5 Millwall 29 14 8 7 +3 +5.4 50
6 Wrexham 30 12 11 7 +7 -3.5 47
7 Derby 30 12 9 9 +7 -3.5 45
8 Preston 30 11 11 8 +3 -8.9 44
9 Bristol City 30 12 7 11 +4 -0.5 43
10 Watford 29 11 10 8 +4 +5.3 43
11 QPR 30 12 7 11 -1 +2.2 43
12 Stoke 30 12 6 12 +6 -6.8 42
13 Birmingham 30 11 9 10 +3 +14.2 42
14 Southampton 28 10 9 9 +6 +12.1 39
15 Swansea 30 11 6 13 -3 -5.8 39
16 Leicester 30 10 8 12 -5 -11.0 38
17 Sheffield United 29 11 3 15 -2 +11.6 36
18 Charlton 29 9 8 12 -9 -13.6 35
19 Norwich 30 9 6 15 -5 -10.3 33
20 Portsmouth 28 8 9 11 -10 -3.6 33
21 West Brom 30 9 5 16 -15 +3.8 32
22 Blackburn 29 7 8 14 -12 +3.6 29
23 Oxford 29 6 9 14 -11 -5.7 27
24 Sheffield Weds 29 1 8 20 -39 -28.4 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield United Oxford
13′
M. Peart-Harris 0–1
Oliver Arblaster 🟨
17′
1–1 S. Peck
H. Burrows
41′
43′
🟨 Will Vaulks
Half-time 1–1
60′
🔁 M. Harris
↦ W. Lankshear
D. Soumare 🔁
↦ O. Arblaster
61′
T. Campbell 🔁
↦ C. O'Hare
61′
61′
🔁 S. Mills
↦ P. Placheta
2–1 A. Brooks
T. Cannon
66′
C. Ogbene 🔁
↦ A. Brooks
71′
76′
🟨 Cameron Brannagan
79′
🔁 Y. E. Konak
↦ C. Brannagan
79′
🔁 O. ter Haar Romeny
↦ M. Peart-Harris
79′
🔁 S. Dembele
↦ S. Long
80′
🟨 Christ Makosso
3–1 C. Ogbene
G. Hamer
83′
L. F. Hjelde 🔁
↦ H. Burrows
84′
T. Chong 🔁
↦ G. Hamer
84′
Thomas Cannon 🟨
88′
Sydie Peck 🟨
91′
91′
🟨 Yunus Konak
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sheffield United

4-2-3-1
1 M. Cooper G
38 F. Seriki D
2 J. Tanganga D
6 T. Bindon D
14 H. Burrows D
4 O. Arblaster M
42 S. Peck M
11 A. Brooks M
10 C. O'Hare M
8 G. Hamer M
7 T. Cannon F
Bench (9)
17 A. Davies
5 L. F. Hjelde
9 D. Ings
12 K. Hoever
18 D. Soumare
19 C. Ogbene
23 T. Campbell
24 T. Chong
25 M. McGuinness

Coach: Chris Wilder

Oxford

3-4-2-1
1 J. Cumming G
37 C. Makosso D
6 M. Helik D
3 C. Brown D
2 S. Long M
8 C. Brannagan M
4 W. Vaulks M
15 B. Spencer M
7 P. Placheta F
44 M. Peart-Harris F
27 W. Lankshear F
Bench (9)
21 M. Ingram
5 Y. E. Konak
9 M. Harris
11 O. ter Haar Romeny
17 S. Mills
22 G. Leigh
23 S. Dembele
29 B. Davies
32 Jeon Jin-Woo

Coach: Matt Bloomfield

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,38
U
4,65
B
7,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,04
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Backhouse · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.