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NM-cupen
1–6
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gamle Oslo Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,3
2,2
Conceded
2,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — NM-cupen · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
4,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gamle Oslo 68. · Sarpsborg 08 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromso 2 2 0 0 +11 6
2 Rana 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Grorud 2 1 1 0 +2 4
4 Kongsvinger 1 1 0 0 +12 3
5 Alta 1 1 0 0 +11 3
6 Haugesund 1 1 0 0 +11 3
7 Rosenborg 1 1 0 0 +10 3
8 Bodo/Glimt 1 1 0 0 +8 3
9 Levanger 2 1 0 1 +7 3
10 Molde 1 1 0 0 +7 3
11 Egersund 1 1 0 0 +6 3
12 Brann 1 1 0 0 +6 3
13 Viking 1 1 0 0 +6 3
14 Strommen 1 1 0 0 +5 3
15 Lillestrom 1 1 0 0 +5 3
16 Eidsvold 1 1 0 0 +5 3
17 Stromsgodset 1 1 0 0 +5 3
18 Sandefjord 1 1 0 0 +5 3
19 Kristiansund 1 1 0 0 +4 3
20 Asane 1 1 0 0 +4 3
21 KFUM Oslo 1 1 0 0 +4 3
22 Sarpsborg 08 1 1 0 0 +4 3
23 Fredrikstad 1 1 0 0 +4 3
24 Bryne 1 1 0 0 +4 3
25 Follo 1 1 0 0 +3 3
26 Raufoss 1 1 0 0 +3 3
27 Fram 1 1 0 0 +3 3
28 Mjondalen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
29 Stabaek 1 1 0 0 +3 3
30 Jerv 1 1 0 0 +3 3
31 Skeid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
32 Aalesund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
33 Tromsdalen Uil 1 1 0 0 +3 3
34 Nardo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Os 1 1 0 0 +2 3
36 Ranheim 1 1 0 0 +2 3
37 Start 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Moss 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 Lørenskog 1 1 0 0 +2 3
40 Flekkerøy 1 1 0 0 +2 3
41 Bjarg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
42 Sandviken 1 1 0 0 +2 3
43 Elverum 1 1 0 0 +2 3
44 Træff 1 1 0 0 +2 3
45 Vidar 1 1 0 0 +2 3
46 Lysekloster 1 1 0 0 +2 3
47 Ham-Kam 1 1 0 0 +2 3
48 Torvastad 1 1 0 0 +2 3
49 Flint 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Sotra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
51 Junkeren 1 1 0 0 +1 3
52 Lyn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
53 Sogndal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
54 Strindheim 1 1 0 0 +1 3
55 Pors Grenland 1 1 0 0 +1 3
56 Kjelsås 1 1 0 0 +1 3
57 Sortland 1 1 0 0 +1 3
58 Stjørdals-Blink 1 1 0 0 +1 3
59 Skjervøy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
60 Bærum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Nordstrand 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Ull/Kisa 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 IF Ready 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Asker 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Brattvåg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Ørn Horten 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Arendal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Gamle Oslo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Valerenga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 hodd 2 0 1 1 -2 1
71 Odd 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Djerv 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Harstad 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Råde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Fløya 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Volda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Trygg/Lade 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Hønefoss 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Oppsal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Melbo IL 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Kvik Trondheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Byåsen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Fana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Sverresborg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Våg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Kvik Halden 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Frigg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Brodd 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Fjøra 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 NHHI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Gjøvik-Lyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Sandnes ULF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Gneist 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Lillehammer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Vard 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Ullern 1 0 0 1 -3 0
98 Brumunddal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
99 Eik-Tønsberg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
100 Åssiden IF 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 Notodden 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 Vindbjart 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Union Carl Berner 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 Rollon 1 0 0 1 -3 0
105 Ulfstind 1 0 0 1 -3 0
106 Melhus 1 0 0 1 -4 0
107 Askøy 1 0 0 1 -4 0
108 SF Grei 1 0 0 1 -4 0
109 Sprint-Jeløy 1 0 0 1 -4 0
110 Mosjøen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
111 Sarpsborg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
112 Varhaug 1 0 0 1 -4 0
113 Bjørkelangen 1 0 0 1 -5 0
114 Skjetten 1 0 0 1 -5 0
115 Skedsmo 1 0 0 1 -5 0
116 Konnerud 1 0 0 1 -5 0
117 Teie 1 0 0 1 -5 0
118 Eiger 1 0 0 1 -6 0
119 Varegg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
120 Hana 1 0 0 1 -6 0
121 Elnesvågen 1 0 0 1 -7 0
122 Verdal 1 0 0 1 -8 0
123 Innstranden 1 0 0 1 -8 0
124 Rindal 1 0 0 1 -10 0
125 Hamna 1 0 0 1 -10 0
126 Bjørnevatn 1 0 0 1 -11 0
127 Nord 1 0 0 1 -11 0
128 Ridabu 1 0 0 1 -12 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gamle Oslo Sarpsborg 08
6′
D. Karlsbakk 0–1
A. Sanyang
7′
A. Sanyang 0–2
M. Haheim-Elveseter
1–2 E. Jammeh
N. Skar-Lentze
16′
35′
P. Reinhardsen 1–3
J. Gregersen
Half-time 1–4
46′
D. Karlsbakk 1–4
M. Haheim-Elveseter
49′
S. Gudjohnsen 1–5
A. Sanyang
68′
A. Sanyang 1–6
M. Vestergaard
Full-time 1–6

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.