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Premier League

Referee: A Taylor

Southampton

U U T U S

1–1

Full-time

Tottenham

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Southampton Tottenham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

2,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,5

This season — Premier League · 18/16 matches

Win Ø 39%

22%

56%

Points per game

1,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

56%

63%

Both score Ø 44%

56%

31%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%

9 Shots 21

2 Shots on target 11

4 Blocked shots 5

10 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 7

3 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 5

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Southampton 14. · Tottenham 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	19	15	2	2	+38	47
2	Liverpool	18	12	5	1	+35	41
3	Chelsea	19	12	5	2	+29	41
4	Arsenal	19	11	2	6	+9	35
5	Tottenham	16	9	2	5	+2	29
6	West Ham	18	8	4	6	+6	28
7	Man United	17	8	4	5	+2	28
8	Wolves	18	7	4	7	-1	25
9	Brighton	17	5	8	4	-1	23
10	Leicester	17	6	4	7	-3	22
11	Aston Villa	18	7	1	10	-4	22
12	Crystal Palace	18	4	8	6	-3	20
13	Brentford	17	5	5	7	-3	20
14	Southampton	18	4	8	6	-9	20
15	Everton	17	5	4	8	-8	19
16	Leeds	18	3	7	8	-18	16
17	Watford	16	4	1	11	-10	13
18	Burnley	15	1	8	6	-7	11
19	Newcastle	19	1	8	10	-23	11
20	Norwich	18	2	4	12	-31	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	10	8	1	1	+25	25
2	Arsenal	9	7	1	1	+11	22
3	Tottenham	10	7	1	2	+6	22
4	Liverpool	9	6	3	0	+16	21
5	Chelsea	9	5	3	1	+15	18
6	Crystal Palace	9	3	5	1	+6	14
7	West Ham	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Leicester	8	4	1	3	+3	13
9	Aston Villa	9	4	1	4	+1	13
10	Man United	8	4	1	3	+1	13
11	Everton	8	4	1	3	+0	13
12	Brighton	9	3	3	3	-1	12
13	Southampton	8	2	5	1	+1	11
14	Wolves	9	3	2	4	-2	11
15	Brentford	8	3	1	4	+0	10
16	Leeds	9	2	4	3	-5	10
17	Newcastle	10	1	5	4	-9	8
18	Burnley	7	1	4	2	+0	7
19	Watford	8	2	1	5	-7	7
20	Norwich	10	1	2	7	-14	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	10	7	2	1	+14	23
2	Man City	9	7	1	1	+13	22
3	Liverpool	9	6	2	1	+19	20
4	Man United	9	4	3	2	+1	15
5	West Ham	9	4	2	3	+3	14
6	Wolves	9	4	2	3	+1	14
7	Arsenal	10	4	1	5	-2	13
8	Brighton	8	2	5	1	+0	11
9	Brentford	9	2	4	3	-3	10
10	Aston Villa	9	3	0	6	-5	9
11	Leicester	9	2	3	4	-6	9
12	Southampton	10	2	3	5	-10	9
13	Tottenham	6	2	1	3	-4	7
14	Watford	8	2	0	6	-3	6
15	Everton	9	1	3	5	-8	6
16	Crystal Palace	9	1	3	5	-9	6
17	Leeds	9	1	3	5	-13	6
18	Norwich	8	1	2	5	-17	5
19	Burnley	8	0	4	4	-7	4
20	Newcastle	9	0	3	6	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.