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Premier League
Referee: S Hooper
2–2
Full-time
Southampton
T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Southampton
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,2
This season — Premier League · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 22%
25%
19%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

60% Possession 40%
9 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crystal Palace 13. · Southampton 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 17 13 2 2 +31 41
2 Liverpool 16 11 4 1 +33 37
3 Chelsea 16 11 3 2 +27 36
4 West Ham 16 8 4 4 +9 28
5 Man United 16 8 3 5 +2 27
6 Arsenal 16 8 2 6 -1 26
7 Tottenham 14 8 1 5 -1 25
8 Leicester 16 6 4 6 +0 22
9 Aston Villa 17 7 1 9 -2 22
10 Wolves 16 6 3 7 -2 21
11 Brentford 16 5 5 6 -1 20
12 Brighton 15 4 8 3 -2 20
13 Crystal Palace 16 4 7 5 +0 19
14 Everton 16 5 3 8 -8 18
15 Southampton 16 3 7 6 -10 16
16 Leeds 17 3 7 7 -15 16
17 Watford 16 4 1 11 -10 13
18 Burnley 15 1 8 6 -7 11
19 Newcastle 16 1 7 8 -17 10
20 Norwich 17 2 4 11 -26 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,14
U ✓
3,38
B
3,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,76
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Hooper · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.