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Premier League

Referee: P Tierney

Man City

S S S S S

7–0

Full-time

Leeds

T U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man City Leeds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

100%

17%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,2

This season — Premier League · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 47%

75%

19%

Points per game

2,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

31%

69%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

2,1

1,1

Conceded

0,6

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

64% Possession 36%

31 Shots 6

15 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 8

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

5 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Man City 1. · Leeds 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	16	12	2	2	+24	38
2	Liverpool	16	11	4	1	+33	37
3	Chelsea	16	11	3	2	+27	36
4	West Ham	16	8	4	4	+9	28
5	Man United	16	8	3	5	+2	27
6	Arsenal	16	8	2	6	-1	26
7	Tottenham	14	8	1	5	-1	25
8	Leicester	16	6	4	6	+0	22
9	Aston Villa	17	7	1	9	-2	22
10	Wolves	16	6	3	7	-2	21
11	Brentford	16	5	5	6	-1	20
12	Brighton	15	4	8	3	-2	20
13	Crystal Palace	16	4	7	5	+0	19
14	Everton	16	5	3	8	-8	18
15	Leeds	16	3	7	6	-8	16
16	Southampton	16	3	7	6	-10	16
17	Watford	16	4	1	11	-10	13
18	Burnley	15	1	8	6	-7	11
19	Newcastle	16	1	7	8	-17	10
20	Norwich	17	2	4	11	-26	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	8	6	1	1	+15	19
2	Arsenal	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Liverpool	8	5	3	0	+14	18
4	Tottenham	8	6	0	2	+3	18
5	Chelsea	8	5	2	1	+15	17
6	West Ham	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Crystal Palace	8	3	4	1	+6	13
8	Leicester	8	4	1	3	+3	13
9	Aston Villa	8	4	1	3	+3	13
10	Man United	8	4	1	3	+1	13
11	Everton	8	4	1	3	+0	13
12	Southampton	8	2	5	1	+1	11
13	Brentford	8	3	1	4	+0	10
14	Leeds	8	2	4	2	-2	10
15	Wolves	8	3	1	4	-2	10
16	Brighton	7	2	3	2	-2	9
17	Burnley	7	1	4	2	+0	7
18	Newcastle	8	1	4	3	-5	7
19	Watford	8	2	1	5	-7	7
20	Norwich	9	1	2	6	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	8	6	1	1	+19	19
2	Chelsea	8	6	1	1	+12	19
3	Man City	8	6	1	1	+9	19
4	West Ham	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Man United	8	4	2	2	+1	14
6	Brighton	8	2	5	1	+0	11
7	Wolves	8	3	2	3	+0	11
8	Brentford	8	2	4	2	-1	10
9	Leicester	8	2	3	3	-3	9
10	Aston Villa	9	3	0	6	-5	9
11	Tottenham	6	2	1	3	-4	7
12	Arsenal	8	2	1	5	-10	7
13	Watford	8	2	0	6	-3	6
14	Crystal Palace	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Leeds	8	1	3	4	-6	6
16	Everton	8	1	2	5	-8	5
17	Southampton	8	1	2	5	-11	5
18	Norwich	8	1	2	5	-17	5
19	Burnley	8	0	4	4	-7	4
20	Newcastle	8	0	3	5	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.