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Premier League

Referee: D Coote

Norwich

S U U T T

0–2

Full-time

Aston Villa

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Aston Villa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Premier League · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 26%

13%

38%

Points per game

0,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

56%

63%

Both score Ø 47%

38%

56%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

7 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 8

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 10

12 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norwich 20. · Aston Villa 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	16	12	2	2	+24	38
2	Liverpool	16	11	4	1	+33	37
3	Chelsea	16	11	3	2	+27	36
4	West Ham	16	8	4	4	+9	28
5	Man United	16	8	3	5	+2	27
6	Arsenal	16	8	2	6	-1	26
7	Tottenham	14	8	1	5	-1	25
8	Leicester	16	6	4	6	+0	22
9	Wolves	16	6	3	7	-2	21
10	Brentford	16	5	5	6	-1	20
11	Brighton	15	4	8	3	-2	20
12	Crystal Palace	16	4	7	5	+0	19
13	Aston Villa	16	6	1	9	-4	19
14	Everton	16	5	3	8	-8	18
15	Leeds	16	3	7	6	-8	16
16	Southampton	16	3	7	6	-10	16
17	Watford	16	4	1	11	-10	13
18	Burnley	15	1	8	6	-7	11
19	Newcastle	16	1	7	8	-17	10
20	Norwich	16	2	4	10	-24	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	8	6	1	1	+15	19
2	Arsenal	8	6	1	1	+9	19
3	Liverpool	8	5	3	0	+14	18
4	Tottenham	8	6	0	2	+3	18
5	Chelsea	8	5	2	1	+15	17
6	West Ham	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Crystal Palace	8	3	4	1	+6	13
8	Leicester	8	4	1	3	+3	13
9	Aston Villa	8	4	1	3	+3	13
10	Man United	8	4	1	3	+1	13
11	Everton	8	4	1	3	+0	13
12	Southampton	8	2	5	1	+1	11
13	Brentford	8	3	1	4	+0	10
14	Leeds	8	2	4	2	-2	10
15	Wolves	8	3	1	4	-2	10
16	Brighton	7	2	3	2	-2	9
17	Burnley	7	1	4	2	+0	7
18	Newcastle	8	1	4	3	-5	7
19	Watford	8	2	1	5	-7	7
20	Norwich	8	1	2	5	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	8	6	1	1	+19	19
2	Chelsea	8	6	1	1	+12	19
3	Man City	8	6	1	1	+9	19
4	West Ham	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Man United	8	4	2	2	+1	14
6	Brighton	8	2	5	1	+0	11
7	Wolves	8	3	2	3	+0	11
8	Brentford	8	2	4	2	-1	10
9	Leicester	8	2	3	3	-3	9
10	Tottenham	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Arsenal	8	2	1	5	-10	7
12	Watford	8	2	0	6	-3	6
13	Crystal Palace	8	1	3	4	-6	6
14	Leeds	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Aston Villa	8	2	0	6	-7	6
16	Everton	8	1	2	5	-8	5
17	Southampton	8	1	2	5	-11	5
18	Norwich	8	1	2	5	-17	5
19	Burnley	8	0	4	4	-7	4
20	Newcastle	8	0	3	5	-12	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.