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LaLiga2
Tenerife
S T U S T
Cadiz
U U T T T
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The model's reading of the match in plain language: expected goals, favourite probability and what the form says.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tenerife Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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🔒 Where the model differs from the market Pro

The markets where our estimate differs most from the odds — the core of Pro.

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The table now Tenerife 11. · Cadiz 19.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Castellon 6 5 1 0 +10 +0.4 16
2 Eibar 6 5 0 1 +8 +1.4 15
3 Mallorca 6 4 1 1 +6 +2.5 13
4 Almeria 6 4 0 2 +6 -1.3 12
5 Burgos 6 3 2 1 +3 -0.8 11
6 Sabadell 6 3 2 1 +2 +3.5 11
7 Leganes 6 3 2 1 +1 -2.0 11
8 Girona 6 3 1 2 +4 +0.9 10
9 Sp Gijon 6 3 1 2 +1 -1.0 10
10 Las Palmas 6 3 1 2 +0 -1.8 10
11 Tenerife 6 3 1 2 -1 -0.8 10
12 Sociedad B 6 2 2 2 +1 -2.0 8
13 Oviedo 6 2 2 2 +1 +3.1 8
14 Granada 6 2 2 2 +0 +0.1 8
15 Celta B 6 2 1 3 -3 -2.2 7
16 Cordoba 6 2 0 4 -4 +1.0 6
17 Eldense 6 1 2 3 -4 -1.9 5
18 Valladolid 6 1 2 3 -5 -1.6 5
19 Cadiz 6 0 3 3 -3 +2.4 3
20 Andorra 6 1 0 5 -4 +4.6 3
21 Albacete 6 0 1 5 -6 +0.4 1
22 Ceuta 6 0 1 5 -13 -5.0 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Bookmaker odds fetched 1 day ago — the market may have moved since.

1X2
H
1,69
U
3,55
B
5,25
Over/under goals
O1,5
1,43
U1,5
2,82
O2,5
2,30
U2,5
1,65
O3,5
4,10
U3,5
1,21
Both teams to score
BLS ja
2,10
BLS nei
1,67
Why do we recommend this?

Draw (Tips of the week — high risk) — The balance of strength is even (1,1–1,0 in expected goals), and our model gives the draw 30 % against the market's roughly 28 %. In Tenerife's recent matches there have been an average of 2,2 goals, in Cadiz's 3,0.

Referee

Not assigned yet — referee appointments are usually published in the last 24 hours before kick-off, and the referee stats will appear here then.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.