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Ekstraklasa
Referee: K Arys
Piast Gliwice
T S S T S
1–0
Full-time
Wisla Plock
U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Piast Gliwice Wisla Plock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
1,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 37%
32%
42%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
42%
21%
Both score Ø 53%
47%
58%
Average goals
2,2
1,9
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,00 xG 1,64
59% Possession 41%
16 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Piast Gliwice 13. · Wisla Plock 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 19 10 5 4 +13 -2.7 35
2 Wisla Plock 19 8 9 2 +10 +2.2 33
3 Gornik Zabrze 20 10 3 7 +5 -2.5 33
4 Zaglebie 20 8 7 5 +6 +0.5 31
5 Cracovia 20 8 7 5 +5 +3.5 31
6 Rakow 20 9 3 8 +2 +3.9 30
7 Lechia Gdansk 20 8 5 7 +2 -1.6 29
8 Lech Poznan 20 7 8 5 +1 +11.7 29
9 Radomiak Radom 19 7 6 6 +5 +0.1 27
10 Korona Kielce 20 7 6 7 +2 -1.1 27
11 GKS Katowice 19 8 2 9 -2 -7.8 26
12 Motor Lublin 20 5 9 6 -7 -2.7 24
13 Piast Gliwice 19 6 5 8 +0 -6.2 23
14 Pogon Szczecin 20 6 4 10 -5 +8.8 22
15 Arka Gdynia 19 6 4 9 -17 -6.4 22
16 Legia 20 4 8 8 -3 +2.4 20
17 Widzew Lodz 20 6 2 12 -5 +2.9 20
18 Nieciecza 20 5 5 10 -12 -4.9 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

K Arys · 61 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.