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Ekstraklasa

Stal Mielec

S U T S U

4–2

Full-time

Zaglebie

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Zaglebie

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

This season — Ekstraklasa · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 43%

30%

56%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

40%

56%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stal Mielec 14. · Zaglebie 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	11	7	3	1	+17	24
2	Lechia Gdansk	11	6	4	1	+11	22
3	Rakow	10	6	3	1	+7	21
4	Pogon Szczecin	11	5	4	2	+7	19
5	Slask Wroclaw	11	4	5	2	+1	17
6	Cracovia	11	4	4	3	+0	16
7	Jagiellonia	10	4	3	3	+0	15
8	Zaglebie	9	5	0	4	-2	15
9	Piast Gliwice	11	4	2	5	-1	14
10	Wisla	11	4	2	5	-2	14
11	Wisla Plock	11	4	1	6	+1	13
12	Gornik Zabrze	10	4	1	5	-2	13
13	Radomiak Radom	10	2	6	2	+1	12
14	Stal Mielec	10	3	3	4	-5	12
15	Legia	9	3	0	6	-3	9
16	Nieciecza	10	1	4	5	-5	7
17	Warta Poznan	11	1	4	6	-7	7
18	Leczna	11	1	3	7	-18	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	6	4	2	0	+13	14
2	Pogon Szczecin	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	Wisla Plock	5	4	1	0	+9	13
4	Lechia Gdansk	5	4	1	0	+7	13
5	Jagiellonia	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Radomiak Radom	5	2	3	0	+3	9
7	Slask Wroclaw	6	2	3	1	+2	9
8	Zaglebie	5	3	0	2	+2	9
9	Gornik Zabrze	6	3	0	3	+0	9
10	Stal Mielec	5	3	0	2	-1	9
11	Cracovia	5	2	2	1	+2	8
12	Wisla	5	2	1	2	+2	7
13	Piast Gliwice	6	2	1	3	-2	7
14	Legia	4	2	0	2	+1	6
15	Rakow	3	1	2	0	+3	5
16	Nieciecza	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	Leczna	6	1	2	3	-9	5
18	Warta Poznan	5	0	3	2	-4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	7	5	1	1	+4	16
2	Lech Poznan	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Lechia Gdansk	6	2	3	1	+4	9
4	Slask Wroclaw	5	2	2	1	-1	8
5	Cracovia	6	2	2	2	-2	8
6	Piast Gliwice	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Wisla	6	2	1	3	-4	7
8	Pogon Szczecin	6	1	3	2	-2	6
9	Zaglebie	4	2	0	2	-4	6
10	Gornik Zabrze	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Warta Poznan	6	1	1	4	-3	4
12	Jagiellonia	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Radomiak Radom	5	0	3	2	-2	3
14	Stal Mielec	5	0	3	2	-4	3
15	Legia	5	1	0	4	-4	3
16	Nieciecza	4	0	2	2	-2	2
17	Leczna	5	0	1	4	-9	1
18	Wisla Plock	6	0	0	6	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.