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Championship
Referee: D Bond
3–1
Full-time
Hull
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 32%
20%
44%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
48%
60%
Both score Ø 52%
40%
64%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
0,7
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,23 xG 0,94
63% Possession 37%
23 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
10 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 23. · Hull 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 26 21 2 3 +36 +23.2 65
2 Ipswich 26 16 7 3 +15 +11.4 55
3 Southampton 25 14 7 4 +14 +17.5 49
4 Leeds 25 13 6 6 +19 +19.1 45
5 West Brom 25 12 6 7 +13 +5.1 42
6 Sunderland 26 12 4 10 +8 +12.8 40
7 Hull 25 11 6 8 +6 +7.3 39
8 Coventry 26 9 10 7 +10 +6.3 37
9 Cardiff 26 11 4 11 +1 -8.9 37
10 Watford 26 9 9 8 +6 +3.9 36
11 Bristol City 26 10 6 10 +2 +2.5 36
12 Middlesbrough 26 11 3 12 -1 +11.9 36
13 Norwich 25 10 5 10 +1 -5.9 35
14 Preston 26 10 5 11 -13 -10.3 35
15 Millwall 26 8 8 10 -3 -5.5 32
16 Swansea 26 8 8 10 -4 -10.0 32
17 Blackburn 26 10 2 14 -9 -1.9 32
18 Plymouth 26 7 8 11 -2 -12.5 29
19 Stoke 26 7 8 11 -7 -2.5 29
20 Birmingham 26 7 7 12 -11 -4.9 28
21 Huddersfield 26 5 10 11 -18 -14.4 25
22 QPR 26 5 6 15 -16 -10.6 21
23 Sheffield Weds 25 5 4 16 -21 -4.8 19
24 Rotherham 26 3 9 14 -26 -29.0 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Hull
35′
🟥 Tyler Morton
39′
🔁 G. Docherty
↦ J. Lokilo
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Alfie Jones
A. Fletcher 🔁
↦ B. Cadamarteri
46′
46′
🔁 C. Christie
↦ S. McLoughlin
46′
🔁 S. Twine
↦ A. Connolly
1–0 M. Johnson
A. Fletcher
49′
2–0 D. Gassama
M. Johnson
55′
57′
🟨 Scott Twine
Liam Palmer 🟨
60′
61′
🔁 A. Sayyadmanesh
↦ O. Tufan
61′
🔁 M. Jacob
↦ L. Delap
Pol Valentín 🟨
62′
3–0 J. Windass
72′
M. Diaby 🔁
↦ Pol Valentín
74′
M. Smith 🔁
↦ J. Windass
74′
76′
S. Twine 3–1
85′
🟨 Jacob Greaves
M. Wilks 🔁
↦ A. Musaba
86′
T. Bakinson 🔁
↦ B. Bannan
87′
89′
🟨 Regan Slater
Mallik Wilks 🟨
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

4-2-3-1
1 C. Dawson G
14 Pol Valentín D
20 M. Ihiekwe D
17 D. Bernard D
18 M. Johnson D
2 L. Palmer M
10 B. Bannan M
45 A. Musaba M
11 J. Windass M
41 D. Gassama M
42 B. Cadamarteri F
Bench (9)
27 A. Fletcher
44 M. Diaby
24 M. Smith
7 M. Wilks
19 T. Bakinson
34 J. Phuthi
36 D. Vásquez
33 R. James
25 Guilherme Siqueira

Coach: N. Thompson

Hull

4-2-3-1
1 M. Ingram G
2 L. Coyle D
5 A. Jones D
6 S. McLoughlin D
4 J. Greaves D
27 R. Slater M
15 T. Morton M
20 L. Delap M
7 O. Tufan M
22 J. Lokilo M
44 A. Connolly F
Bench (9)
8 G. Docherty
33 C. Christie
30 S. Twine
9 A. Sayyadmanesh
29 M. Jacob
17 R. Allsop
26 A. Smith
14 H. Vaughan
10 A. Traoré

Coach: L. Rosenior

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,10
U
3,22
B
2,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,73
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Bond · 157 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.