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Allsvenskan

Referee: A Ladebäck

Malmo FF

U T S S U

5–0

Full-time

Kalmar

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Kalmar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,2

4,2

Scored

2,2

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 55%

80%

30%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

60%

70%

Both score Ø 55%

30%

80%

Average goals

3,1

3,6

Scored

2,5

1,7

Conceded

0,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

+1,9

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–0

2,62 xG 0,23

67% Possession 33%

24 Shots 3

10 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 0

3 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 11

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malmo FF 1. · Kalmar 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	10	8	1	1	+19	+10.1	25
2	Djurgarden	10	7	1	2	+14	+0.8	22
3	GAIS	10	6	0	4	+0	-1.1	18
4	Mjallby	10	5	2	3	+7	+1.0	17
5	Hacken	10	5	2	3	+3	-1.4	17
6	Hammarby	10	5	0	5	+0	+1.2	15
7	Halmstad	10	5	0	5	-4	-3.6	15
8	AIK	10	4	2	4	-4	-2.5	14
9	Elfsborg	10	4	1	5	+1	+2.1	13
10	Brommapojkarna	10	3	4	3	-2	+2.3	13
11	Sirius	10	3	3	4	-2	+1.4	12
12	Goteborg	10	3	2	5	-4	-1.7	11
13	Varnamo	10	3	2	5	-7	-4.8	11
14	Norrkoping	10	3	2	5	-9	-3.6	11
15	Kalmar	10	3	1	6	-2	-2.6	10
16	Vasteras SK	10	1	1	8	-10	+2.3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Djurgarden	6	4	1	1	+6	-2.1	13
2	Malmo FF	4	4	0	0	+9	+3.1	12
3	AIK	5	4	0	1	+7	-0.3	12
4	Hammarby	5	4	0	1	+6	+1.2	12
5	GAIS	5	4	0	1	+1	+0.3	12
6	Mjallby	5	3	2	0	+7	+0.7	11
7	Elfsborg	5	3	1	1	+8	+1.8	10
8	Hacken	6	3	1	2	+2	-1.4	10
9	Halmstad	5	3	0	2	+1	-0.2	9
10	Norrkoping	4	2	0	2	-2	-3.2	6
11	Sirius	5	1	2	2	-1	+1.5	5
12	Brommapojkarna	5	1	2	2	-7	-0.1	5
13	Kalmar	5	1	1	3	+0	-1.4	4
14	Goteborg	5	1	1	3	-6	-3.6	4
15	Vasteras SK	5	1	0	4	-5	+1.9	3
16	Varnamo	5	0	1	4	-9	-2.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	6	4	1	1	+10	+7.0	13
2	Varnamo	5	3	1	1	+2	-2.4	10
3	Djurgarden	4	3	0	1	+8	+2.8	9
4	Brommapojkarna	5	2	2	1	+5	+2.4	8
5	Goteborg	5	2	1	2	+2	+1.9	7
6	Hacken	4	2	1	1	+1	–	7
7	Sirius	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.0	7
8	Mjallby	5	2	0	3	+0	+0.3	6
9	GAIS	5	2	0	3	-1	-1.3	6
10	Kalmar	5	2	0	3	-2	-1.3	6
11	Halmstad	5	2	0	3	-5	-3.4	6
12	Norrkoping	6	1	2	3	-7	-0.3	5
13	Hammarby	5	1	0	4	-6	–	3
14	Elfsborg	5	1	0	4	-7	+0.2	3
15	AIK	5	0	2	3	-11	-2.2	2
16	Vasteras SK	5	0	1	4	-5	+0.4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.