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Allsvenskan

Referee: M Al Hakim

Elfsborg

S U T S U

4–1

Full-time

Varberg

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Varberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

2,3

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,2

This season — Allsvenskan · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 35%

40%

30%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

50%

40%

Both score Ø 40%

50%

30%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,9

0,7

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

64% Possession 36%

28 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 8. · Varberg 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	11	7	3	1	+8	24
2	AIK	12	7	3	2	+4	24
3	Djurgarden	12	6	3	3	+15	21
4	Hammarby	11	6	3	2	+11	21
5	Malmo FF	11	5	3	3	+2	18
6	Kalmar	10	5	1	4	+4	16
7	Mjallby	11	4	4	3	+1	16
8	Elfsborg	10	4	3	3	+8	15
9	Norrkoping	11	4	3	4	+2	15
10	Goteborg	10	4	2	4	+1	14
11	Sirius	10	4	2	4	-5	14
12	Varnamo	10	3	3	4	-1	12
13	Varberg	10	3	2	5	-8	11
14	Degerfors	11	2	1	8	-15	7
15	Sundsvall	11	2	0	9	-18	6
16	Helsingborg	11	1	2	8	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	6	5	1	0	+15	16
2	AIK	6	5	1	0	+6	16
3	Hammarby	6	3	3	0	+6	12
4	Hacken	5	4	0	1	+5	12
5	Mjallby	6	3	3	0	+5	12
6	Elfsborg	5	3	1	1	+5	10
7	Malmo FF	5	3	1	1	+5	10
8	Kalmar	5	3	0	2	+3	9
9	Sirius	4	3	0	1	+1	9
10	Norrkoping	5	2	2	1	+5	8
11	Goteborg	5	2	2	1	+2	8
12	Varnamo	5	2	2	1	+2	8
13	Varberg	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Sundsvall	6	2	0	4	-7	6
15	Helsingborg	6	1	1	4	-5	4
16	Degerfors	6	1	1	4	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	6	3	3	0	+3	12
2	Hammarby	5	3	0	2	+5	9
3	AIK	6	2	2	2	-2	8
4	Malmo FF	6	2	2	2	-3	8
5	Kalmar	5	2	1	2	+1	7
6	Norrkoping	6	2	1	3	-3	7
7	Goteborg	5	2	0	3	-1	6
8	Elfsborg	5	1	2	2	+3	5
9	Djurgarden	6	1	2	3	+0	5
10	Sirius	6	1	2	3	-6	5
11	Varnamo	5	1	1	3	-3	4
12	Mjallby	5	1	1	3	-4	4
13	Varberg	5	1	1	3	-6	4
14	Degerfors	5	1	0	4	-6	3
15	Helsingborg	5	0	1	4	-4	1
16	Sundsvall	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.