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League Cup

Referee: T Reeves

Sheffield Weds

U S T U U

2–0

Full-time

Sunderland

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Sunderland

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%

12 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 1

6 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Exeter City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Grimsby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Preston	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Portsmouth	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Gillingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Rochdale	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Walsall	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Forest Green	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Shrewsbury	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Newport County	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Bradford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Colchester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Milton Keynes Dons	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Crawley Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Stockport County	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Oxford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Accrington ST	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Charlton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Blackpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Barrow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Morecambe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Luton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Ipswich	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Sutton Utd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Harrogate Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Doncaster	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bolton	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Grimsby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Rochdale	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Walsall	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Forest Green	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Shrewsbury	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Bradford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Cambridge United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Fleetwood Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Milton Keynes Dons	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Crawley Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Oxford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Accrington ST	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Charlton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Blackpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Morecambe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Luton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Mansfield Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Reading	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Ipswich	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Harrogate Town	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Cardiff	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	Doncaster	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Exeter City	1	1	0	0	+7	3
2	Preston	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Portsmouth	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Lincoln	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Gillingham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Newport County	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Wycombe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Stevenage	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Colchester	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Stockport County	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Tranmere	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	QPR	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Barrow	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Sutton Utd	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Leyton Orient	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-4	0
28	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.