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LaLiga2
Referee: Alonso De Ena Wolf
Eibar
S T U T S
2–1
Full-time
Mirandes
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Mirandes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 24%
26%
21%
Points per game
1,1
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
58%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,48 xG 1,03
65% Possession 35%
14 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Eibar 18. · Mirandes 22.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 19 11 4 4 +15 +0.2 37
2 Las Palmas 19 9 7 3 +12 +0.6 34
3 La Coruna 19 9 5 5 +11 +2.7 32
4 Almeria 19 9 5 5 +9 -0.1 32
5 Castellon 19 9 4 6 +6 +3.2 31
6 Cadiz 19 8 6 5 +1 -0.8 30
7 Sp Gijon 19 9 3 7 +0 +1.1 30
8 Burgos 19 8 5 6 +6 +1.5 29
9 Ceuta 19 8 5 6 -1 -3.2 29
10 Malaga 19 7 5 7 +2 -0.7 26
11 Cordoba 19 6 8 5 +0 +0.6 26
12 Valladolid 19 6 6 7 +1 +3.9 24
13 Andorra 19 6 6 7 -5 -1.2 24
14 Albacete 19 6 5 8 -6 -0.7 23
15 Huesca 19 6 5 8 -6 +1.3 23
16 Cultural Leonesa 19 7 2 10 -8 -6.3 23
17 Sociedad B 19 6 3 10 -2 +0.7 21
18 Eibar 19 5 6 8 -3 +0.1 21
19 Granada 19 4 9 6 -3 -0.1 21
20 Leganes 19 4 8 7 -3 +1.3 20
21 Zaragoza 19 4 5 10 -14 -3.5 17
22 Mirandes 19 4 4 11 -12 -0.7 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Mirandes
15′
A. Pica 0–1
R. Bauza
Half-time 1–1
1–1 A. Rodriguez
J. Corpas
54′
Jon Guruzeta 🟨
59′
60′
ℹ️ Gonzalo Petit
VAR: Card upgrade
61′
🟥 Gonzalo Petit
62′
🟨 Carlos Fernández
Javier Marton 🔁
↦ J. Guruzeta
67′
H. Garcia 🔁
↦ A. Rodriguez
67′
68′
🔁 M. Pascual
↦ H. Novoa Ramos
Marco Moreno 🟨
69′
J. Magunazelaia Argoitia 🔁
↦ A. Madariaga
81′
J. Martinez 🔁
↦ A. Garrido
81′
82′
🟨 Martín Pascual
83′
🟨 Iker Cordoba
2–1 Javier Marton
84′
L. Olaetxea 🔁
↦ J. Bautista
85′
87′
🔁 A. Cardero
↦ A. Pica
87′
🔁 A. Mari
↦ P. Perez
Anaitz Arbilla 🟥
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 J. Magunagoitia G
22 A. Rodriguez D
8 P. Nolaskoain D
21 M. Moreno D
23 A. Arbilla D
6 S. Alvarez M
30 A. Garrido M
16 A. Madariaga M
10 J. Guruzeta M
17 J. Corpas M
9 J. Bautista F
Bench (12)
15 Jair
4 A. Arambarri
20 Javier Marton
27 H. Garcia
11 J. Magunazelaia Argoitia
7 X. Alkain
2 S. Cubero
1 L. Lopez
14 L. Olaetxea
19 T. Villa
3 H. Arrillaga
5 J. Martinez

Coach: Beñat San José Gil

Mirandes

4-4-2
1 I. Nikic G
2 H. Novoa Ramos D
5 A. Pica D
24 I. Cordoba D
3 F. Medrano D
27 T. Tamarit M
26 R. Bauza M
6 T. Helguera M
17 P. Perez M
9 G. Petit F
10 C. Fernandez F
Bench (12)
31 A. Gorrin
4 M. Pascual
8 A. Martin Luis
11 A. Cardero
14 A. Mari
18 I. Barea Fernandez
19 M. Illesca
20 E. Eto'o
30 S. El Jebari
36 H. Alutiz
41 M. Arriola
13 Juanpa

Coach: Francisco Rodríguez Justo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,49
U
3,71
B
6,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.