Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Luton
Millwall
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Burnley
|
34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | +40 | 76 |
| 2 |
Sheffield United
|
33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | +25 | 64 |
| 3 |
Middlesbrough
|
33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | +17 | 57 |
| 4 |
Blackburn
|
34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | +0 | 55 |
| 5 |
Millwall
|
33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | +8 | 53 |
| 6 |
Norwich
|
34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | +11 | 52 |
| 7 |
Luton
|
31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +8 | 51 |
| 8 |
Watford
|
34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | +3 | 50 |
| 9 |
Sunderland
|
33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | +11 | 48 |
| 10 |
West Brom
|
33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | +8 | 48 |
| 11 |
Preston
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 46 |
| 12 |
Coventry
|
32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | +2 | 45 |
| 13 |
Bristol City
|
33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | +2 | 44 |
| 14 |
Reading
|
33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 44 |
| 15 |
Swansea
|
34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -4 | 43 |
| 16 |
Hull
|
34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -10 | 42 |
| 17 |
Stoke
|
34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | -2 | 40 |
| 18 |
QPR
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -14 | 39 |
| 19 |
Birmingham
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 38 |
| 20 |
Rotherham
|
34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | -9 | 37 |
| 21 |
Cardiff
|
34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | -13 | 35 |
| 22 |
Huddersfield
|
33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | -17 | 31 |
| 23 |
Blackpool
|
34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | -18 | 31 |
| 24 |
Wigan
|
33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | -22 | 31 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
G. Osho
D
A. Bell
D
C. Drameh
M
M. Nakamba
M
A. Doughty
M
C. Morris
F
E. Adebayo
F
Coach: R. Edwards
G. Long
G
D. McNamara
D
C. Cresswell
D
J. Cooper
D
J. Shackleton
M
R. Leonard
M
Z. Flemming
M
Coach: G. Rowett
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Birmingham
Luton
Luton
Burnley
Preston
Luton
Grimsby
Luton
Luton
Stoke
G Eltringham · 124 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.