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Serie B

Referee: F Dionisi

Sampdoria

T U S T S

2–1

Full-time

Ascoli

T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 29%

36%

21%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

57%

36%

Both score Ø 59%

71%

46%

Average goals

2,9

2,1

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%

16 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

27 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 11. · Ascoli 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	29	18	8	3	+26	62
2	Cremonese	29	16	8	5	+19	56
3	Venezia	29	16	6	7	+18	54
4	Como	29	15	7	7	+8	52
5	Palermo	29	14	7	8	+14	49
6	Catanzaro	29	14	6	9	+8	48
7	Brescia	29	9	11	9	+2	38
8	Pisa	29	9	10	10	+0	37
9	Cittadella	29	10	7	12	-5	37
10	Reggiana	29	7	15	7	-2	36
11	Sampdoria	28	10	6	12	-5	36
12	Modena	29	8	12	9	-5	36
13	Sudtirol	29	9	8	12	-3	35
14	Cosenza	29	8	10	11	-1	34
15	Bari	29	7	13	9	-7	34
16	Spezia	29	6	12	11	-14	30
17	Ternana	29	7	8	14	-6	29
18	Ascoli	28	6	10	12	-6	28
19	FeralpiSalo	29	7	6	16	-14	27
20	Lecco	29	5	6	18	-27	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Venezia	15	10	3	2	+13	33
2	Parma	15	9	6	0	+13	33
3	Como	14	8	4	2	+7	28
4	Catanzaro	15	8	3	4	+8	27
5	Cremonese	15	7	5	3	+9	26
6	Palermo	14	8	1	5	+10	25
7	Cittadella	15	7	2	6	+3	23
8	Bari	14	5	7	2	+2	22
9	Brescia	14	5	5	4	+2	20
10	Modena	15	5	4	6	-1	19
11	Pisa	15	4	6	5	+0	18
12	Sudtirol	14	5	3	6	-1	18
13	Cosenza	15	4	5	6	+2	17
14	Ascoli	14	3	6	5	+0	15
15	Ternana	15	3	6	6	-1	15
16	Spezia	14	3	6	5	-2	15
17	Reggiana	14	2	9	3	-3	15
18	Sampdoria	14	4	3	7	-4	15
19	FeralpiSalo	14	3	3	8	-4	12
20	Lecco	14	3	1	10	-13	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	14	9	3	2	+10	30
2	Parma	14	9	2	3	+13	29
3	Palermo	15	6	6	3	+4	24
4	Como	15	7	3	5	+1	24
5	Venezia	14	6	3	5	+5	21
6	Reggiana	15	5	6	4	+1	21
7	Catanzaro	14	6	3	5	+0	21
8	Sampdoria	14	6	3	5	-1	21
9	Pisa	14	5	4	5	+0	19
10	Brescia	15	4	6	5	+0	18
11	Sudtirol	15	4	5	6	-2	17
12	Cosenza	14	4	5	5	-3	17
13	Modena	14	3	8	3	-4	17
14	FeralpiSalo	15	4	3	8	-10	15
15	Spezia	15	3	6	6	-12	15
16	Ternana	14	4	2	8	-5	14
17	Cittadella	14	3	5	6	-8	14
18	Ascoli	14	3	4	7	-6	13
19	Bari	15	2	6	7	-9	12
20	Lecco	15	2	5	8	-14	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.