OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Brann
Ranheim
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Brann
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 | +51 | 57 |
| 2 |
Stabaek
|
22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | +21 | 40 |
| 3 |
Ranheim
|
21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | +9 | 39 |
| 4 |
KFUM Oslo
|
20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | +6 | 35 |
| 5 |
Sandnes ULF
|
20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | +7 | 34 |
| 6 |
Sogndal
|
22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | -4 | 32 |
| 7 |
Raufoss
|
21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | -4 | 31 |
| 8 |
Start
|
20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +11 | 30 |
| 9 |
Asane
|
22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -13 | 28 |
| 10 |
Kongsvinger
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | +4 | 27 |
| 11 |
Mjondalen
|
21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 |
Fredrikstad
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 25 |
| 13 |
Bryne
|
21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -14 | 20 |
| 14 |
Skeid
|
21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | -15 | 15 |
| 15 |
Stjørdals-Blink
|
22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -23 | 14 |
| 16 |
Grorud
|
21 | 0 | 7 | 14 | -23 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sogndal
Brann
Brann
Raufoss
Stabaek
Brann
Brann
Start
Bryne
Brann
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.