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Serie B

Alessandria

T U U U T

1–2

Full-time

Perugia

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alessandria Perugia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

This season — Serie B · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 32%

25%

38%

Points per game

1,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

33%

29%

Both score Ø 46%

46%

Average goals

2,6

2,0

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

15 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 5

7 Corners 6

7 Free kicks against 25

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alessandria 16. · Perugia 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	24	12	10	2	+20	46
2	Cremonese	24	13	6	5	+16	45
3	Pisa	24	12	9	3	+13	45
4	Brescia	24	12	8	4	+13	44
5	Monza	24	11	8	5	+10	41
6	Benevento	24	11	7	6	+12	40
7	Ascoli	24	11	6	7	+6	39
8	Frosinone	24	9	11	4	+12	38
9	Perugia	24	9	11	4	+7	38
10	Cittadella	24	9	8	7	+1	35
11	Como	24	8	10	6	+3	34
12	Reggina	24	9	5	10	-8	32
13	Ternana	24	8	7	9	+0	31
14	Parma	24	6	10	8	-1	28
15	Spal	24	5	9	10	-10	24
16	Alessandria	24	6	5	13	-12	23
17	Cosenza	24	4	7	13	-18	19
18	Crotone	24	2	8	14	-17	14
19	Vicenza	24	3	5	16	-19	14
20	Pordenone	24	2	6	16	-28	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	12	9	2	1	+14	29
2	Lecce	12	8	4	0	+17	28
3	Cremonese	12	7	4	1	+10	25
4	Pisa	12	6	5	1	+6	23
5	Benevento	12	6	3	3	+8	21
6	Frosinone	12	4	6	2	+6	18
7	Cittadella	12	5	3	4	+3	18
8	Como	12	4	5	3	+3	17
9	Perugia	12	4	5	3	+3	17
10	Reggina	12	5	2	5	-3	17
11	Ternana	12	5	1	6	+0	16
12	Brescia	12	3	6	3	+1	15
13	Alessandria	12	4	3	5	-4	15
14	Parma	12	3	5	4	+1	14
15	Cosenza	12	4	2	6	-3	14
16	Ascoli	12	3	4	5	-3	13
17	Spal	12	2	5	5	-2	11
18	Crotone	12	2	5	5	-4	11
19	Vicenza	12	1	4	7	-8	7
20	Pordenone	12	1	4	7	-10	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	12	9	2	1	+12	29
2	Ascoli	12	8	2	2	+9	26
3	Pisa	12	6	4	2	+7	22
4	Perugia	12	5	6	1	+4	21
5	Frosinone	12	5	5	2	+6	20
6	Cremonese	12	6	2	4	+6	20
7	Benevento	12	5	4	3	+4	19
8	Lecce	12	4	6	2	+3	18
9	Como	12	4	5	3	+0	17
10	Cittadella	12	4	5	3	-2	17
11	Ternana	12	3	6	3	+0	15
12	Reggina	12	4	3	5	-5	15
13	Parma	12	3	5	4	-2	14
14	Spal	12	3	4	5	-8	13
15	Monza	12	2	6	4	-4	12
16	Alessandria	12	2	2	8	-8	8
17	Vicenza	12	2	1	9	-11	7
18	Cosenza	12	0	5	7	-15	5
19	Pordenone	12	1	2	9	-18	5
20	Crotone	12	0	3	9	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.