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Serie B

Cosenza

T T U U U

1–2

Full-time

Perugia

U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Perugia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 27%

18%

36%

Points per game

0,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

32%

27%

Both score Ø 48%

50%

45%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,1

Conceded

1,5

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

17 Shots 17

7 Shots on target 6

6 Corners 8

11 Free kicks against 23

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cosenza 17. · Perugia 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	22	11	9	2	+17	42
2	Cremonese	22	12	5	5	+14	41
3	Pisa	22	11	8	3	+12	41
4	Brescia	22	11	7	4	+12	40
5	Monza	22	10	8	4	+10	38
6	Benevento	22	10	7	5	+13	37
7	Frosinone	22	9	10	3	+13	37
8	Perugia	22	8	10	4	+6	34
9	Ascoli	22	9	6	7	+1	33
10	Cittadella	22	8	8	6	+1	32
11	Parma	22	6	10	6	+2	28
12	Como	22	6	10	6	+1	28
13	Ternana	22	7	7	8	+0	28
14	Reggina	22	7	5	10	-12	26
15	Spal	22	5	8	9	-8	23
16	Alessandria	22	6	4	12	-9	22
17	Cosenza	22	4	7	11	-16	19
18	Crotone	22	2	8	12	-13	14
19	Vicenza	22	3	3	16	-19	12
20	Pordenone	22	2	6	14	-25	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	11	9	2	0	+15	29
2	Lecce	11	7	4	0	+14	25
3	Cremonese	11	6	4	1	+8	22
4	Pisa	11	6	4	1	+6	22
5	Benevento	11	6	3	2	+10	21
6	Frosinone	11	4	6	1	+7	18
7	Cittadella	11	5	3	3	+4	18
8	Perugia	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Ternana	11	5	1	5	+1	16
10	Como	11	3	5	3	+2	14
11	Parma	11	3	5	3	+2	14
12	Brescia	11	3	5	3	+1	14
13	Cosenza	11	4	2	5	-2	14
14	Alessandria	11	4	2	5	-4	14
15	Reggina	11	4	2	5	-5	14
16	Spal	11	2	5	4	+0	11
17	Crotone	11	2	5	4	-3	11
18	Ascoli	11	2	4	5	-6	10
19	Pordenone	11	1	4	6	-9	7
20	Vicenza	11	1	3	7	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	11	8	2	1	+11	26
2	Ascoli	11	7	2	2	+7	23
3	Frosinone	11	5	4	2	+6	19
4	Cremonese	11	6	1	4	+6	19
5	Pisa	11	5	4	2	+6	19
6	Perugia	11	4	6	1	+3	18
7	Lecce	11	4	5	2	+3	17
8	Benevento	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Parma	11	3	5	3	+0	14
10	Como	11	3	5	3	-1	14
11	Cittadella	11	3	5	3	-3	14
12	Ternana	11	2	6	3	-1	12
13	Reggina	11	3	3	5	-7	12
14	Spal	11	3	3	5	-8	12
15	Monza	11	1	6	4	-5	9
16	Alessandria	11	2	2	7	-5	8
17	Vicenza	11	2	0	9	-11	6
18	Cosenza	11	0	5	6	-14	5
19	Pordenone	11	1	2	8	-16	5
20	Crotone	11	0	3	8	-10	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.