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Serie B

Spezia

T S S T T

5–1

Full-time

Cosenza

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Cosenza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 33%

44%

22%

Points per game

1,6

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

53%

41%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

15 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 4

11 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 6. · Cosenza 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	32	23	7	2	+38	76
2	Crotone	32	16	7	9	+17	55
3	Cittadella	32	15	7	10	+7	52
4	Pordenone	32	15	7	10	+3	52
5	Frosinone	32	14	9	9	+7	51
6	Spezia	32	14	8	10	+9	50
7	Salernitana	32	13	8	11	+4	47
8	Chievo	32	11	13	8	+7	46
9	Pisa	32	12	10	10	+4	46
10	Empoli	32	11	12	9	+0	45
11	Virtus Entella	33	11	10	12	-3	43
12	Perugia	32	11	7	14	-9	40
13	Pescara	32	11	6	15	-6	39
14	Venezia	32	9	12	11	-6	39
15	Cremonese	32	9	10	13	-4	37
16	Juve Stabia	33	10	7	16	-13	37
17	Ascoli	32	10	6	16	-8	36
18	Trapani	32	7	12	13	-17	33
19	Cosenza	32	7	10	15	-4	31
20	Livorno	32	5	6	21	-26	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	16	13	3	0	+29	42
2	Crotone	16	10	4	2	+17	34
3	Pordenone	16	10	4	2	+13	34
4	Salernitana	16	9	6	1	+12	33
5	Frosinone	16	10	3	3	+12	33
6	Spezia	16	9	3	4	+9	30
7	Pisa	17	8	5	4	+6	29
8	Virtus Entella	16	8	5	3	+6	29
9	Chievo	16	8	3	5	+7	27
10	Juve Stabia	17	8	3	6	+1	27
11	Empoli	16	6	8	2	+7	26
12	Ascoli	15	7	4	4	+5	25
13	Perugia	17	7	4	6	+1	25
14	Pescara	16	6	6	4	+7	24
15	Cremonese	16	6	4	6	+2	22
16	Cittadella	16	6	4	6	-1	22
17	Trapani	16	5	6	5	+2	21
18	Cosenza	16	3	5	8	-5	14
19	Venezia	16	3	5	8	-9	14
20	Livorno	15	3	2	10	-15	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	16	10	4	2	+9	34
2	Cittadella	16	9	3	4	+8	30
3	Venezia	16	6	7	3	+3	25
4	Crotone	16	6	3	7	+0	21
5	Spezia	16	5	5	6	+0	20
6	Chievo	16	3	10	3	+0	19
7	Empoli	16	5	4	7	-7	19
8	Frosinone	16	4	6	6	-5	18
9	Pordenone	16	5	3	8	-10	18
10	Cosenza	16	4	5	7	+1	17
11	Pisa	15	4	5	6	-2	17
12	Cremonese	16	3	6	7	-6	15
13	Perugia	15	4	3	8	-10	15
14	Pescara	16	5	0	11	-13	15
15	Salernitana	16	4	2	10	-8	14
16	Virtus Entella	17	3	5	9	-9	14
17	Trapani	16	2	6	8	-19	12
18	Ascoli	17	3	2	12	-13	11
19	Livorno	17	2	4	11	-11	10
20	Juve Stabia	16	2	4	10	-14	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.