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Ligue 2

Referee: M Bollengier

Grenoble

U S T T T

3–2

Full-time

Bastia

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Grenoble Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,8

1,8

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,5

0,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 28%

31%

25%

Points per game

1,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

50%

38%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

2,4

1,9

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

36% Possession 64%

13 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Grenoble 12. · Bastia 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	16	10	3	3	+15	33
2	Paris FC	16	9	4	3	+11	31
3	Dunkerque	16	10	1	5	+5	31
4	Metz	16	8	5	3	+11	29
5	Annecy	16	7	6	3	+5	27
6	Laval	16	7	4	5	+8	25
7	Guingamp	16	8	1	7	+4	25
8	Amiens	16	7	2	7	-1	23
9	Bastia	16	4	10	2	+2	22
10	Pau FC	16	6	4	6	-1	22
11	Rodez	16	5	5	6	+3	20
12	Grenoble	16	5	3	8	-2	18
13	Troyes	16	5	3	8	-4	18
14	Red Star	16	5	3	8	-12	18
15	Clermont	16	4	5	7	-5	17
16	Caen	16	4	3	9	-6	15
17	Ajaccio	16	4	3	9	-7	15
18	Martigues	16	2	3	11	-26	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	8	8	0	0	+16	24
2	Dunkerque	9	8	0	1	+9	24
3	Annecy	8	6	1	1	+9	19
4	Metz	8	5	3	0	+11	18
5	Pau FC	8	5	2	1	+7	17
6	Amiens	8	5	2	1	+6	17
7	Guingamp	8	5	1	2	+11	16
8	Grenoble	8	4	2	2	+5	14
9	Paris FC	7	4	2	1	+4	14
10	Bastia	8	3	5	0	+4	14
11	Ajaccio	8	4	2	2	+3	14
12	Laval	7	3	2	2	+2	11
13	Troyes	8	3	2	3	+1	11
14	Caen	8	3	2	3	+0	11
15	Red Star	8	3	2	3	-4	11
16	Rodez	7	3	1	3	+1	10
17	Clermont	9	2	4	3	+1	10
18	Martigues	9	0	1	8	-16	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	9	5	2	2	+7	17
2	Laval	9	4	2	3	+6	14
3	Metz	8	3	2	3	+0	11
4	Rodez	9	2	4	3	+2	10
5	Lorient	8	2	3	3	-1	9
6	Guingamp	8	3	0	5	-7	9
7	Bastia	8	1	5	2	-2	8
8	Annecy	8	1	5	2	-4	8
9	Martigues	7	2	2	3	-10	8
10	Dunkerque	7	2	1	4	-4	7
11	Troyes	8	2	1	5	-5	7
12	Clermont	7	2	1	4	-6	7
13	Red Star	8	2	1	5	-8	7
14	Amiens	8	2	0	6	-7	6
15	Pau FC	8	1	2	5	-8	5
16	Caen	8	1	1	6	-6	4
17	Grenoble	8	1	1	6	-7	4
18	Ajaccio	8	0	1	7	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.