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Ligue 2
Referee: F Batta
Dunkerque
S U S S T
3–1
Full-time
Caen
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dunkerque Caen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,7
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 44%
60%
27%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
47%
47%
Both score Ø 50%
53%
47%
Average goals
2,9
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
18 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 0
8 Offside 6
14 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dunkerque 4. · Caen 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 16 10 3 3 +15 33
2 Paris FC 16 9 4 3 +11 31
3 Metz 16 8 5 3 +11 29
4 Dunkerque 15 9 1 5 +3 28
5 Annecy 16 7 6 3 +5 27
6 Laval 16 7 4 5 +8 25
7 Guingamp 16 8 1 7 +4 25
8 Amiens 16 7 2 7 -1 23
9 Bastia 16 4 10 2 +2 22
10 Pau FC 16 6 4 6 -1 22
11 Rodez 16 5 5 6 +3 20
12 Grenoble 16 5 3 8 -2 18
13 Troyes 16 5 3 8 -4 18
14 Red Star 16 5 3 8 -12 18
15 Clermont 16 4 5 7 -5 17
16 Caen 15 4 3 8 -4 15
17 Ajaccio 16 4 3 9 -7 15
18 Martigues 16 2 3 11 -26 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dunkerque Caen
Ugo Raghouber 🟨
8′
Half-time 0–0
52′
🟨 Didí Gaucho
1–0 Y. Bammou
M. Rivera
53′
K. Tejan 🔁
↦ G. Yassine
60′
60′
🔁 N. Lebreton
↦ D. Debohi
60′
🔁 L. Milliner
↦ T. Gomis
61′
🔁 G. Kyeremeh
↦ M. Le Bihan
2–0 V. Sasso
65′
68′
🔁 M. Autret
↦ D. Bolumbu
68′
🔁 G. Tomé
↦ L. Rajot
69′
🟨 Noe Lebreton
G. Courtet 🔁
↦ M. Rivera
73′
73′
G. Tomé 2–1
75′
🟨 Léo Milliner
M. Essimi 🔁
↦ Y. Bammou
80′
A. Sekongo 🔁
↦ N. Skyttä
80′
82′
🟨 Quentin Lecoeuche
3–1 G. Courtet
83′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Dunkerque

4-1-4-1
16 Adrián Ortolá G
2 A. Georgen D
26 Opa Sanganté D
23 V. Sasso D
30 Abner D
28 U. Raghouber M
80 G. Yassine M
22 N. Skyttä M
20 E. Bardeli M
8 M. Rivera M
19 Y. Bammou F
Bench (7)
9 K. Tejan
18 G. Courtet
10 M. Essimi
15 A. Sekongo
1 E. Jaouen
4 N. Fernandez-Veliz
21 G. Kondo

Coach: Luís Castro

Caen

4-1-4-1
16 Y. Clémentia G
3 D. Bolumbu D
91 E. Ntim D
29 R. Thomas D
28 Q. Lecoeuche D
77 D. Debohi
7 T. Gomis M
10 B. Brahimi M
14 L. Rajot M
8 M. Le Bihan M
19 Alexandre Mendy F
Bench (7)
20 N. Lebreton
37 L. Milliner
17 G. Kyeremeh
23 M. Autret
39 G. Tomé
36 R. Verhaeghe
1 A. Mandréa

Coach: N. Seube

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,05
U
3,39
B
3,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,85
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Batta · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.