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Ligue 2
Referee: W Toulliou
Nimes
S U T T T
3–1
Full-time
Sochaux
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nimes Sochaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,2
1,8
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
2,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-1,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 33%
24%
41%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
49%
54%
Both score Ø 50%
51%
49%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
9 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 5
16 Free kicks against 23
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nimes 19. · Sochaux 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Le Havre 37 19 15 3 +26 72
2 Metz 37 19 12 6 +27 69
3 Bordeaux 37 20 9 8 +24 69
4 Bastia 37 17 9 11 +8 60
5 Caen 37 16 11 10 +10 59
6 St Etienne 37 14 11 12 +4 53
7 Sochaux 37 15 7 15 +15 52
8 Guingamp 37 14 10 13 +3 52
9 Paris FC 37 14 10 13 +1 52
10 Grenoble 37 14 9 14 -1 51
11 Quevilly Rouen 37 12 13 12 -2 49
12 Amiens 37 13 8 16 -11 47
13 Valenciennes 37 10 15 12 -5 45
14 Annecy 37 11 12 14 -11 45
15 Pau FC 37 11 11 15 -13 44
16 Rodez 37 10 13 14 -6 43
17 Laval 37 13 4 20 -13 43
18 Dijon 37 10 12 15 -4 42
19 Nimes 37 9 6 22 -20 33
20 Niort 37 7 7 23 -32 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nimes Sochaux
1–0 M. Tchokounté
P. Pagis
9′
29′
I. Sissoko 1–1
39′
🟨 Daylam Meddah
Guessouma Fofana 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
B. Poulain 🔁
↦ M. Paget
64′
71′
🔁 M. Pezard
↦ E. Grillot
M. Doucouré 🔁
↦ M. Zerkane
72′
2–1 M. Tchokounté
M. Doucouré
75′
80′
🔁 S. Agouzoul
↦ M. Lecolier
Julien Megier 🟨
82′
85′
🟨 Nolan Galves
3–1 R. Saïd
86′
W. Ngakoutou 🔁
↦ R. Saïd
87′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Nimes

4-1-4-1
1 Axel Maraval G
35 Hamza Sbai D
19 Nasser Djiga D
33 Julien Megier D
34 Marc Paget D
76 Guessouma Fofana M
11 Pablo Pagis M
20 Leon Delpech M
22 Mehdi Zerkane M
15 Rafiki Saïd M
18 Malik Tchokounté F
Bench (4)
6 Benoît Poulain
24 Mahamadou Doucouré
36 Wesley Ngakoutou Yapende
30 Amjhad Nazih

Coach: F. Bompard

Sochaux

4-2-3-1
16 Maxence Prévot G
34 Christ Makosso D
36 Emilien Christophe Thierry Grillot D
19 Daylam Meddah D
33 Nolan Galves D
14 Rassoul Ndiaye M
77 Franck Kanouté M
37 Martin Lecolier M
15 Aldo Kalulu M
35 Alex Daho M
9 Ibrahim Sissoko F
Bench (5)
38 Matteo Pezard
5 Saad Agouzoul
30 Mehdi Jeannin
18 Yoël Armougom
6 Roli Pereira de Sa

Coach: P. Frau

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,98
U
3,51
B
2,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,24
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Toulliou · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.