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Ligue 2

Caen

T U S U T

2–0

Full-time

Ajaccio

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,7

0,8

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,3

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

This season — Ligue 2 · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 43%

25%

60%

Points per game

1,1

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 28%

45%

10%

Both score Ø 33%

50%

15%

Average goals

2,4

1,5

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,2

0,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

5 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 1

2 Corners 6

13 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 16. · Ajaccio 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	22	11	9	2	+26	42
2	Ajaccio	20	12	5	3	+13	41
3	Sochaux	22	11	7	4	+6	40
4	Paris FC	20	11	4	5	+9	37
5	Auxerre	20	10	6	4	+10	36
6	Le Havre	22	8	10	4	+6	34
7	Dijon	22	9	2	11	-1	29
8	Niort	19	8	4	7	+2	28
9	Pau FC	21	8	4	9	+0	28
10	Rodez	22	7	7	8	-3	28
11	Nimes	20	7	5	8	-1	26
12	Guingamp	22	6	8	8	-7	26
13	Amiens	21	5	9	7	+5	24
14	Bastia	22	5	9	8	-1	24
15	Quevilly Rouen	21	6	6	9	-9	24
16	Caen	20	5	7	8	+0	22
17	Grenoble	21	6	4	11	-10	22
18	Valenciennes	20	5	7	8	-12	22
19	Dunkerque	20	4	5	11	-11	17
20	Nancy	21	3	6	12	-22	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajaccio	10	7	2	1	+9	23
2	Toulouse	11	6	4	1	+17	22
3	Pau FC	11	7	1	3	+10	22
4	Sochaux	11	6	3	2	+4	21
5	Paris FC	10	5	4	1	+5	19
6	Auxerre	10	5	3	2	+10	18
7	Bastia	11	3	8	0	+7	17
8	Le Havre	12	4	5	3	+2	17
9	Dijon	12	5	2	5	+0	17
10	Amiens	12	4	4	4	+7	16
11	Niort	9	5	1	3	+5	16
12	Grenoble	10	5	1	4	+2	16
13	Guingamp	10	4	3	3	+1	15
14	Rodez	10	3	4	3	+0	13
15	Nimes	10	3	3	4	-2	12
16	Caen	10	3	1	6	+1	10
17	Quevilly Rouen	9	2	4	3	-3	10
18	Dunkerque	11	2	4	5	-5	10
19	Nancy	10	2	3	5	-11	9
20	Valenciennes	10	2	2	6	-11	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	11	5	5	1	+9	20
2	Sochaux	11	5	4	2	+2	19
3	Paris FC	10	6	0	4	+4	18
4	Ajaccio	10	5	3	2	+4	18
5	Auxerre	10	5	3	2	+0	18
6	Le Havre	10	4	5	1	+4	17
7	Rodez	12	4	3	5	-3	15
8	Nimes	10	4	2	4	+1	14
9	Valenciennes	10	3	5	2	-1	14
10	Quevilly Rouen	12	4	2	6	-6	14
11	Caen	10	2	6	2	-1	12
12	Dijon	10	4	0	6	-1	12
13	Niort	10	3	3	4	-3	12
14	Guingamp	12	2	5	5	-8	11
15	Amiens	9	1	5	3	-2	8
16	Dunkerque	9	2	1	6	-6	7
17	Bastia	11	2	1	8	-8	7
18	Pau FC	10	1	3	6	-10	6
19	Nancy	11	1	3	7	-11	6
20	Grenoble	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.