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Ligue 2

Quevilly Rouen

U S S

1–2

Full-time

Bastia

S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Quevilly Rouen Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,8

This season — Ligue 2 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

14 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 6

5 Corners 4

14 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Quevilly Rouen 6. · Bastia 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Toulouse	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Sochaux	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Auxerre	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Nimes	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Quevilly Rouen	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Niort	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Caen	3	2	0	1	+4	6
9	Ajaccio	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Le Havre	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Valenciennes	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Rodez	4	1	2	1	-3	5
13	Pau FC	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Guingamp	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Amiens	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Bastia	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Dunkerque	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Dijon	4	0	1	3	-4	1
19	Nancy	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Grenoble	4	0	1	3	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Toulouse	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Nimes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Rodez	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Caen	2	1	0	1	+3	3
7	Ajaccio	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Quevilly Rouen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Pau FC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Niort	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Sochaux	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Bastia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Dunkerque	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Le Havre	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Dijon	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Guingamp	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Valenciennes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Grenoble	2	0	1	1	-4	1
19	Amiens	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Nancy	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Toulouse	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Sochaux	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Nimes	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Quevilly Rouen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Le Havre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Auxerre	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Valenciennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Niort	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Caen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Ajaccio	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Guingamp	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Nancy	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Pau FC	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Rodez	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Bastia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Dunkerque	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Grenoble	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.