OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sandnes ULF
Strommen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ham-Kam
|
13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +13 | 26 |
| 2 |
Aalesund
|
13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 24 |
| 3 |
Jerv
|
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 24 |
| 4 |
Fredrikstad
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +8 | 22 |
| 5 |
Sogndal
|
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 21 |
| 6 |
Start
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | +0 | 17 |
| 7 |
Bryne
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 |
KFUM Oslo
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 9 |
Ranheim
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |
Ull/Kisa
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 |
Asane
|
13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -5 | 16 |
| 12 |
Raufoss
|
13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | +1 | 15 |
| 13 |
Strommen
|
13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 |
Sandnes ULF
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 |
Stjørdals-Blink
|
13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -12 | 13 |
| 16 |
Grorud
|
13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -7 | 12 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Bryne
Sandnes ULF
Sandnes ULF
Ham-Kam
Ranheim
Sandnes ULF
Sandnes ULF
Aalesund
Grorud
Sandnes ULF
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.