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Championship

Referee: A Davies

QPR

S T S T T

1–1

Full-time

Nott'm Forest

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Nott'm Forest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

This season — Championship · 15/13 matches

Win Ø 36%

40%

31%

Points per game

1,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

73%

69%

Both score Ø 71%

73%

69%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match QPR 9. · Nott'm Forest 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bournemouth	15	10	5	0	+16	35
2	West Brom	15	9	4	2	+15	31
3	Fulham	14	9	2	3	+19	29
4	Coventry	15	8	3	4	+6	27
5	Middlesbrough	15	7	3	5	+6	24
6	Luton	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Reading	15	7	1	7	-2	22
8	Sheffield United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
9	QPR	15	6	3	6	+2	21
10	Stoke	14	6	3	5	+1	21
11	Millwall	14	5	6	3	+0	21
12	Blackpool	14	6	3	5	-1	21
13	Blackburn	14	5	5	4	+6	20
14	Huddersfield	12	6	2	4	+3	20
15	Bristol City	15	5	4	6	-4	19
16	Preston	15	4	6	5	-3	18
17	Swansea	14	4	5	5	-2	17
18	Derby	15	3	8	4	-2	17
19	Birmingham	15	4	4	7	-8	16
20	Nott'm Forest	13	4	2	7	-4	14
21	Peterboro	14	4	2	8	-11	14
22	Peterborough	14	4	2	8	-11	14
23	Cardiff	15	3	3	9	-14	12
24	Hull	15	2	3	10	-12	9
25	Barnsley	14	1	5	8	-11	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Coventry	8	7	1	0	+14	22
2	West Brom	7	5	2	0	+10	17
3	Bournemouth	7	5	2	0	+9	17
4	Fulham	7	5	1	1	+11	16
5	Middlesbrough	8	5	1	2	+7	16
6	Reading	8	5	1	2	+5	16
7	Stoke	7	5	1	1	+5	16
8	Preston	8	4	3	1	+2	15
9	Blackburn	7	4	2	1	+8	14
10	Luton	7	4	2	1	+7	14
11	QPR	7	4	2	1	+5	14
12	Sheffield United	8	4	1	3	+7	13
13	Huddersfield	6	4	1	1	+4	13
14	Swansea	7	3	3	1	+3	12
15	Blackpool	7	4	0	3	-1	12
16	Peterboro	7	3	2	2	+3	11
17	Peterborough	7	3	2	2	+3	11
18	Derby	7	2	5	0	+2	11
19	Millwall	7	3	2	2	+0	11
20	Birmingham	7	2	2	3	-5	8
21	Barnsley	7	1	2	4	-4	5
22	Hull	8	1	2	5	-6	5
23	Bristol City	7	0	4	3	-4	4
24	Cardiff	7	1	1	5	-7	4
25	Nott'm Forest	7	1	1	5	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bournemouth	8	5	3	0	+7	18
2	Bristol City	8	5	0	3	+0	15
3	West Brom	8	4	2	2	+5	14
4	Fulham	7	4	1	2	+8	13
5	Nott'm Forest	6	3	1	2	+4	10
6	Millwall	7	2	4	1	+0	10
7	Luton	7	2	3	2	+1	9
8	Blackpool	7	2	3	2	+0	9
9	Middlesbrough	7	2	2	3	-1	8
10	Birmingham	8	2	2	4	-3	8
11	Sheffield United	7	2	2	3	-4	8
12	Cardiff	8	2	2	4	-7	8
13	Huddersfield	6	2	1	3	-1	7
14	QPR	8	2	1	5	-3	7
15	Blackburn	7	1	3	3	-2	6
16	Derby	8	1	3	4	-4	6
17	Reading	7	2	0	5	-7	6
18	Stoke	7	1	2	4	-4	5
19	Swansea	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Coventry	7	1	2	4	-8	5
21	Hull	7	1	1	5	-6	4
22	Preston	7	0	3	4	-5	3
23	Barnsley	7	0	3	4	-7	3
24	Peterboro	7	1	0	6	-14	3
25	Peterborough	7	1	0	6	-14	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.