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Championship
Referee: M Donohue
1–2
Full-time
Millwall
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield United Millwall
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,3
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Championship · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
62%
25%
Both score Ø 61%
54%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%
12 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
0 Offside 7
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield United 11. · Millwall 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bournemouth 13 8 5 0 +12 29
2 West Brom 13 8 4 1 +13 28
3 Coventry 13 8 2 3 +7 26
4 Fulham 12 7 2 3 +13 23
5 Reading 13 7 1 5 +1 22
6 Stoke 12 6 3 3 +3 21
7 Luton 12 5 4 3 +7 19
8 Huddersfield 10 6 1 3 +6 19
9 Bristol City 13 5 4 4 +0 19
10 QPR 12 5 3 4 +3 18
11 Sheffield United 13 5 3 5 +3 18
12 Middlesbrough 13 5 3 5 +2 18
13 Blackburn 12 4 5 3 +5 17
14 Preston 13 3 6 4 -2 15
15 Millwall 12 3 6 3 -2 15
16 Derby 13 3 6 4 -2 15
17 Blackpool 12 4 3 5 -4 15
18 Swansea 12 3 5 4 -2 14
19 Birmingham 13 3 3 7 -9 12
20 Cardiff 13 3 3 7 -10 12
21 Nott'm Forest 11 3 2 6 -1 11
22 Hull 12 2 3 7 -9 9
23 Barnsley 12 1 5 6 -8 8
24 Peterboro 12 2 2 8 -13 8
25 Peterborough 12 2 2 8 -13 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield United Millwall
11′
J. Wallace 0–1
R. Leonard
Morgan Gibbs-White 🟨
34′
I. Ndiaye 🔁
↦ C. Hourihane
38′
1–1 B. Sharp
45′
Half-time 1–1
Morgan Gibbs-White 🟨
54′
Morgan Gibbs-White 🟥
54′
C. Basham 🔁
↦ J. Bogle
57′
O. Norwood 🔁
↦ D. McGoldrick
66′
67′
🟨 George Saville
75′
🔁 M. Smith
↦ T. Bradshaw
76′
🔁 B. Afobe
↦ S. Ojo
Enda Stevens 🟨
82′
83′
🔁 M. Bennett
↦ S. Malone
92′
J. Cooper 1–2
G. Evans
Oliver Norwood 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sheffield United

4-2-3-1
1 R. Olsen G
3 E. Stevens D
12 J. Egan D
22 B. Davies D
20 J. Bogle D
4 J. Fleck M
24 C. Hourihane M
23 B. Osborn M
27 M. Gibbs-White M
17 D. McGoldrick M
10 B. Sharp F
Bench (7)
29 I. Ndiaye
6 C. Basham
16 O. Norwood
9 O. McBurnie
19 J. Robinson
11 L. Mousset
18 W. Foderingham

Coach: S. Jokanović

Millwall

3-4-3
33 B. Bialkowski G
11 S. Malone M
4 S. Hutchinson D
28 G. Evans M
5 J. Cooper D
26 D. Ballard D
18 R. Leonard M
7 J. Wallace F
17 G. Saville M
9 T. Bradshaw F
14 S. Ojo F
Bench (7)
10 M. Smith
23 B. Afobe
20 M. Bennett
1 G. Long
6 M. Kieftenbeld
15 A. Pearce
24 B. Mitchell

Coach: G. Rowett

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,82
U
3,47
B ✓
4,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Donohue · 188 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.