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2. Bundesliga
Referee: D Aytekin
Schalke 04
T T S S T
0–2
Full-time
Holstein Kiel
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Holstein Kiel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,3
4,2
Scored
2,2
2,5
Conceded
2,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 5
11 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 13. · Holstein Kiel 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 3 2 1 0 +5 7
2 Magdeburg 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Wehen 3 2 1 0 +2 7
4 Hansa Rostock 3 2 0 1 +2 6
5 Holstein Kiel 3 2 0 1 +0 6
6 Hannover 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 St Pauli 3 1 2 0 +1 5
8 Greuther Furth 3 1 1 1 +4 4
9 Karlsruhe 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Fortuna Dusseldorf 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Nurnberg 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Paderborn 3 1 1 1 -4 4
13 Schalke 04 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Braunschweig 3 1 0 2 -1 3
15 Kaiserslautern 3 1 0 2 -3 3
16 Osnabruck 3 0 1 2 -2 1
17 Elversberg 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Hertha 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Holstein Kiel
15′
B. Pichler 0–1
Thomas Ouwejan 🟨
17′
Ron Schallenberg 🟥
39′
L. Tempelmann 🔁
↦ K. Topp
41′
43′
🟨 Philipp Sander
Half-time 0–1
J. Müller 🔁
↦ T. Ouwejan
46′
Y. Kabadayı 🔁
↦ P. Seguin
46′
59′
S. Machino 0–2
T. Rothe
64′
🔁 L. Holtby
↦ S. Skrzybski
64′
🔁 T. Becker
↦ F. Porath
73′
🔁 N. Remberg
↦ S. Machino
73′
🔁 H. Friðjónsson
↦ B. Pichler
B. Idrizi 🔁
↦ D. Latza
74′
S. Kozuki 🔁
↦ A. Ouédraogo
76′
91′
🔁 A. Wagbe
↦ T. Rothe
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
32 M. Müller G
41 H. Matriciani D
25 T. Baumgartl D
35 M. Kamiński D
2 T. Ouwejan D
8 D. Latza M
6 R. Schallenberg M
7 P. Seguin M
42 K. Topp M
43 A. Ouédraogo M
9 S. Terodde F
Bench (9)
10 L. Tempelmann
39 J. Müller
17 Y. Kabadayı
18 B. Idrizi
14 S. Kozuki
29 T. Mohr
22 I. Cissé
1 R. Fährmann
34 M. Langer

Coach: T. Reis

Holstein Kiel

3-5-2
1 T. Weiner G
15 M. Schulz D
4 P. Erras D
34 C. Kleine-Bekel D
8 F. Porath M
16 P. Sander M
6 M. Ivezić M
7 S. Skrzybski M
18 T. Rothe M
13 S. Machino F
9 B. Pichler F
Bench (9)
10 L. Holtby
17 T. Becker
22 N. Remberg
19 H. Friðjónsson
28 A. Wagbe
21 T. Dähne
11 B. Simakala
3 M. Komenda
23 L. Rosenboom

Coach: M. Rapp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,91
U
4,02
B ✓
3,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,42
U2,5 ✓
2,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Aytekin · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.