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2. Bundesliga

Dresden

S T S S T

1–1

Full-time

Hamburg

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dresden Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 39%

39%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

61%

50%

Both score Ø 53%

33%

72%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,1

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

19 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 5

4 Corners 5

11 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dresden 11. · Hamburg 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	18	11	3	4	+14	36
2	Darmstadt	18	11	2	5	+21	35
3	Hamburg	18	7	9	2	+13	30
4	Schalke 04	18	9	3	6	+11	30
5	Nurnberg	18	8	6	4	+6	30
6	Heidenheim	18	9	3	6	-1	30
7	Werder Bremen	18	8	5	5	+7	29
8	Regensburg	18	8	4	6	+7	28
9	Paderborn	18	7	6	5	+10	27
10	Karlsruhe	18	6	7	5	+3	25
11	Dresden	18	7	1	10	-5	22
12	Holstein Kiel	18	5	6	7	-7	21
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	18	5	5	8	-2	20
14	Hansa Rostock	18	5	5	8	-10	20
15	Hannover	18	5	5	8	-13	20
16	Sandhausen	18	4	5	9	-16	17
17	Erzgebirge Aue	18	3	5	10	-15	14
18	Ingolstadt	18	2	4	12	-23	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	8	8	0	0	+19	24
2	Darmstadt	8	6	0	2	+15	18
3	Hamburg	10	4	6	0	+10	18
4	Heidenheim	9	5	3	1	+5	18
5	Regensburg	10	5	2	3	+7	17
6	Nurnberg	9	5	2	2	+7	17
7	Schalke 04	9	5	1	3	+9	16
8	Karlsruhe	10	4	4	2	+5	16
9	Dresden	8	5	0	3	+6	15
10	Holstein Kiel	10	4	2	4	-3	14
11	Werder Bremen	8	3	3	2	+5	12
12	Hannover	9	3	2	4	-5	11
13	Paderborn	10	2	3	5	-2	9
14	Hansa Rostock	8	2	2	4	-5	8
15	Erzgebirge Aue	10	2	2	6	-7	8
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	1	4	4	-2	7
17	Ingolstadt	9	1	3	5	-6	6
18	Sandhausen	8	0	3	5	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	8	5	3	0	+12	18
2	Darmstadt	10	5	2	3	+6	17
3	Werder Bremen	10	5	2	3	+2	17
4	Schalke 04	9	4	2	3	+2	14
5	Sandhausen	10	4	2	4	-4	14
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	4	1	4	+0	13
7	Nurnberg	9	3	4	2	-1	13
8	Hamburg	8	3	3	2	+3	12
9	St Pauli	10	3	3	4	-5	12
10	Hansa Rostock	10	3	3	4	-5	12
11	Heidenheim	9	4	0	5	-6	12
12	Regensburg	8	3	2	3	+0	11
13	Karlsruhe	8	2	3	3	-2	9
14	Hannover	9	2	3	4	-8	9
15	Holstein Kiel	8	1	4	3	-4	7
16	Dresden	10	2	1	7	-11	7
17	Erzgebirge Aue	8	1	3	4	-8	6
18	Ingolstadt	9	1	1	7	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.