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LaLiga2
Numancia
U S U U U
1–0
Full-time
Fuenlabrada
S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Numancia Fuenlabrada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 41%
25%
57%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
25%
43%
Both score Ø 48%
38%
57%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

7 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 6
8 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Numancia 12. · Fuenlabrada 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 8 6 1 1 +5 19
2 Almeria 8 5 2 1 +9 17
3 Zaragoza 7 4 3 0 +8 15
4 Huesca 8 5 0 3 +3 15
5 Fuenlabrada 7 4 2 1 +3 14
6 Elche 8 3 3 2 +1 12
7 Albacete 8 4 0 4 -6 12
8 Vallecano 8 2 5 1 +2 11
9 Tenerife 8 3 2 3 +1 11
10 Alcorcon 8 3 2 3 +0 11
11 Ponferradina 8 2 4 2 +2 10
12 Numancia 8 2 4 2 +1 10
13 Girona 8 3 1 4 -2 10
14 Las Palmas 8 2 3 3 -3 9
15 Sp Gijon 8 1 5 2 +0 8
16 Lugo 8 1 5 2 -3 8
17 Santander 8 1 4 3 +0 7
18 Malaga 8 1 4 3 -2 7
19 La Coruna 8 1 4 3 -4 7
20 Mirandes 8 1 4 3 -6 7
21 Extremadura UD 8 1 3 4 -3 6
22 Oviedo 8 0 3 5 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,24
U
3,00
B
3,45
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,55
U2,5 ✓
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.