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Eliteserien
Referee: Marius Lien
Rosenborg
T S T T U
3–0
Full-time
Kristiansund
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Kristiansund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
18%
27%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
36%
45%
Both score Ø 46%
36%
55%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,27 xG 0,63
69% Possession 31%
17 Shots 13
9 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 7
0 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 22
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 15. · Kristiansund 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Tromso 14 8 4 2 +8 +6.9 28
2 Viking 10 9 0 1 +19 +11.1 27
3 Bodo/Glimt 12 8 2 2 +19 +16.1 26
4 Lillestrom 12 7 1 4 +8 +4.6 22
5 Molde 12 6 2 4 +5 +2.1 20
6 Ham-Kam 10 5 2 3 +1 -1.8 17
7 Sarpsborg 08 11 4 2 5 -3 +0.6 14
8 Sandefjord 11 4 2 5 -3 -1.2 14
9 Fredrikstad 12 4 2 6 -7 -6.4 14
10 Valerenga 12 4 2 6 -8 -3.9 14
11 Brann 12 4 1 7 +4 +1.3 13
12 Aalesund 12 2 6 4 -5 -8.9 12
13 KFUM Oslo 12 3 3 6 -7 -4.3 12
14 Kristiansund 11 3 2 6 -7 -5.4 11
15 Rosenborg 11 2 3 6 -9 -4.4 9
16 Start 12 1 4 7 -15 -6.2 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Kristiansund
1–0 J. Svensson
25′
2–0 D. Duris
31′
45′
🔁 H. Haugen
↦ F. Flex
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 H. Magnusson
↦ A. Ronning
46′
🔁 S. Skeide
↦ N. Odegard
46′
🔁 M. Isah
↦ S. Kilen
3–0 A. Chiakha
O. Selnaes
53′
S. Vaananen 🔁
↦ O. Selnaes
55′
62′
🔁 H. Bruseth
↦ J. Isaksen
J. Mortensen 🔁
↦ J. Svensson
66′
D. Islamovic 🔁
↦ D. Duris
66′
T. Dahl 🔁
↦ A. Pereira
66′
Dino Islamović
penalty missed
73′
78′
🟨 Syver Skundberg Skeide
J. Reitan-Sunde 🔁
↦ A. Chiakha
82′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Rosenborg

4-1-4-1
1 L. Wahlstedt G
22 J. Svensson D
4 M. K. Ceide D
21 T. Nemcik D
19 A. Pereira D
10 O. Selnaes M
29 D. Duris M
17 M. Bomholt M
8 I. Fossum M
35 E. K. Ceide M
18 A. Chiakha F
Bench (9)
12 R. Sandberg
15 J. Mortensen
6 S. Vaananen
2 H. Rosten
14 J. Reitan-Sunde
9 D. Islamovic
11 N. Sahsah
3 T. Dahl
5 H. Volden

Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Kristiansund

4-2-3-1
12 A. Saether G
13 A. Munksgaard D
4 J. Juliusson D
5 D. Ulvestad D
3 F. Flex D
20 W. Igor M
8 N. Odegard M
27 A. Ronning M
6 J. Isaksen M
9 S. Kilen M
19 L. Alvheim F
Bench (9)
1 M. Lansing
77 H. Magnusson
14 S. Skeide
22 H. Haugen
10 H. Bruseth
2 A. Borset
7 M. Isah
31 H. Opsahl
38 A. N. Brattoy

Coach: Amund Skiri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marius Lien · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.