Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bodo/Glimt
Valerenga
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rosenborg
|
25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | +40 | 58 |
| 2 |
Stabaek
|
25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | +16 | 50 |
| 3 |
Stromsgodset
|
25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | +16 | 46 |
| 4 |
Odd
|
25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | +14 | 45 |
| 5 |
Viking
|
25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | +15 | 44 |
| 6 |
Valerenga
|
25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | +5 | 40 |
| 7 |
Molde
|
25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | +18 | 37 |
| 8 |
Lillestrom
|
25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | +1 | 36 |
| 9 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | -3 | 35 |
| 10 |
Haugesund
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -13 | 31 |
| 11 |
Aalesund
|
25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 |
Start
|
25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -18 | 21 |
| 14 |
Tromso
|
25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -14 | 20 |
| 15 |
Mjondalen
|
25 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -23 | 20 |
| 16 |
Sandefjord
|
25 | 3 | 4 | 18 | -31 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Stromsgodset
Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt
Sandefjord
Odd
Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08
Haugesund
Bodo/Glimt
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.